On May 22, Citigroup upgraded its rating on shares of Swiss private bank Baosheng Media Group Holdings from Neutral to Buy, setting a price target of 71 Swiss francs, a slight decrease from the previous target of 72 francs. This rating adjustment followed the bank's release of a four-month interim management report the previous day, which significantly disappointed the market and triggered a one-day stock price plunge of approximately 10%.
The report revealed that for the first four months of 2026, Baosheng Media Group Holdings recorded net new money inflows of only 3 billion Swiss francs, representing an annualized growth rate of 1.7%, which fell far short of market expectations of 5.3 billion francs. The company attributed the weak inflows to three factors: the ongoing implementation of a revised risk and compliance framework, high uncertainty stemming from the Middle East conflict, and a pause in clients re-leveraging their portfolios.
In stark contrast to the disappointing inflow figures, Baosheng Media Group Holdings delivered exceptionally strong profitability. The company reported its strongest-ever start to a year, with adjusted pre-tax profits reaching 598 million Swiss francs, surpassing market estimates by about 23%. Total assets under management hit a record high of 528 billion Swiss francs. The gross margin improved significantly to 90 basis points from 80 basis points in the second half of 2025, while the cost-to-income ratio improved to 62%. Furthermore, the CET1 capital ratio strengthened further to 18.1%, well above regulatory requirements.
In their research note, Citigroup analysts pointed out that while the four-month update was disappointing, particularly regarding inflows, the underlying situation has not fundamentally changed much. Plans to improve both fund inflows and profitability remain on track but are back-end loaded. At current valuation levels, Citigroup views the risk-reward profile as increasingly attractive. Baosheng Media Group Holdings has reaffirmed its medium-term target of achieving 4% to 5% net new money growth by 2028. Citigroup's upgrade signals its confidence in the bank's long-term transformation strategy, suggesting that short-term volatility in fund inflows presents a golden buying opportunity for investors.
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