Oil prices advanced on Monday as Israel ordered its military to expand operations deeper into Lebanon, reigniting market fears that the conflict between Israel and the Iran-backed Hezbollah could unravel a fragile U.S.-brokered ceasefire.
The international benchmark Brent crude futures rose 2.43% to $93.33 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 2.76% to settle at $89.77 per barrel.
Hostilities escalated over the weekend following talks in Washington on Friday, dampening expectations for a renewal of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran.
On Sunday, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated, "Together with Defense Minister Israel Katz, I have ordered the Israel Defense Forces to expand its operational activities in Lebanon." This military directive was issued despite a ceasefire that had been announced in April.
Goldman Sachs noted that its price forecasts of $90 per barrel for Brent and $83 for WTI for the fourth quarter of 2026 face two-way risks. The bank warned that persistent supply disruptions in the Middle East could push prices higher, while weakening demand presents a significant downside pressure.
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