Ethereum Research Group Proposes Mechanism to Gradually Reduce New Issuance as Staking Ratio Rises

Deep News08-05 16:27

Ethereum researchers and developers have jointly submitted a draft for EIP-8361, proposing to progressively burn more validator rewards as the network's staking ratio increases. When the staked amount reaches approximately 60.25 million ETH (about 50% of the total supply), the burn rate would rise to 100%, driving the net issuance of the network to zero. This mechanism aims to reinforce ETH's long-term scarcity and valuation by limiting further dilution for existing holders.

Under the proposal's design, at the end of each epoch, a portion of validator rewards would be permanently burned rather than paid out. The burn rate would increase linearly to 100% as the staked amount approaches a saturation point. Validators would still receive all transaction fees and tip income from building blocks; only the newly minted ETH portion would be burned. The burn mechanism would begin phased implementation approximately six months after the upgrade is activated, with the full process lasting about 18 months, giving the market a roughly two-year adjustment period.

Currently, the staked ETH amount is about 41 million ETH, representing nearly 34% of the total supply. Another approximately 2.5 million ETH is queued for activation, with the queue lasting over six weeks and no exit queue present. The proposal's authors note that if current trends continue, staked ETH is projected to exceed 70 million by January 2028. Once above a certain threshold, more staking would actually reduce network security, as ETH would become concentrated in the hands of exchanges and staking service providers, gradually crowding out smaller individual validators.

The proposal has sparked significant division within the community. The CEO of Aave Labs stated that with staking yields approaching zero, ETH lending strategies would become largely unviable, as a substantial amount of ETH borrowed on Aave is used to purchase more staked ETH—a model that only works when staking yields exceed borrowing costs. The founder of liquid staking protocol ether.fi criticized the proposal for seeking feedback just 48 hours after its release, questioning it as "a major network economic change affecting the entire DeFi ecosystem," and warned it would eliminate independent stakers lacking funding, concentrating staking among "large centralized entities with zero capital costs," potentially leading to capital flight from seven of the top ten DeFi protocols. The founder further argued the proposal would curb new ETH staking, potentially driving hundreds of billions of dollars in ETH back into the circulating market.

Significant uncertainty remains over whether this proposal will be included in the Hegotá network upgrade, scheduled for implementation in the second half of 2026. EIP-8361 was submitted just days before the August 6 deadline for inclusion, with only about 300 lines of draft implementation code attached, and it lacks consensus among validators and stakers. The proposal's authors acknowledge that every month of delay would see the staking ratio rise by approximately 1.5 percentage points. Analysts believe this combination of factors makes it more likely that the proposal will miss the Hegotá upgrade and be postponed to a subsequent fork.

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