Movement Alert|Bank of Communications Rises 3.44% in Regular Trading, UBS Raises Target Price Amid ETF Fund Inflow Expectations

Market Focus07-20

On July 20, Bank of Communications (03328.HK) rose 3.44% in regular trading, trading at HK$7.2/share, with turnover of HK$216 million. The stock rallied alongside a broad-based surge in Chinese bank stocks listed in Hong Kong.

On the news front, UBS raised its target price on Bank of Communications from HK$8.6 to HK$8.7, maintaining a Buy rating. UBS highlighted that the banks Q1 net interest margin rose 2 basis points sequentially to 1.23%, marking a second consecutive quarter of recovery, and upgraded its EPS forecast by 3%-6%. Additionally, broad-based ETFs recorded net inflows of RMB 156.1 billion over the past week. As a sector carrying both index weight and dividend attributes, banking stocks are expected to benefit significantly from the improved fund flows.

Citi noted that public fund reform, insurance capital pursuing high-yield assets, and AMC buying momentum could collectively drive capital back into Chinese bank stocks. Currently, Chinese banks account for only 3.8% of onshore mutual fund holdings versus a 12.3% benchmark weight, implying potential return flows of approximately RMB 185 billion. JPMorgan also expects the top five state-owned banks to deliver above-industry-average revenue and profit growth in Q2.

(The above content is based on publicly available market information, generated by a program or algorithm, and is intended solely as a stock movement alert. It does not constitute investment advice or a basis for trading decisions.)

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