Gold and Crude Oil Both Climb as Safe-Haven Demand and Supply-Demand Dynamics Take Center Stage

Deep News10-16 19:00

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On Wednesday, when the US CPI data was released, gold experienced a sharp drop that day. Yesterday, although multiple US economic data points exerted bearish pressure on gold prices, the market ultimately stabilized and rebounded; during the day, it recovered across the board, having already erased all previous losses, with the daily chart forming a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern. The overall trend aligns with the judgment of a bottoming-out and rebound, though gold prices have not yet broken upward to firmly stand above the 4200-4230 range. From a technical perspective, today being Friday, key attention should be paid to the weekly closing pattern. The weekly close will directly determine the strength and sustainability of the market trend for the remainder of October. Currently, the weekly bottom divergence signal is clear. Once the bullish trend officially starts, October is expected to see a notable upward move, which has been the trend closely tracked all along. The daily chart is in a low-level consolidation and converging structure, with 4230 as the dividing line between strength and weakness: successfully standing above 4230 would shift the market from weak to strong and open upward space; if it continues to face pressure below 4230, the market will remain in weak consolidation. Today is Friday, and the key focus is whether this critical level can be effectively broken through.

Intraday technical picture: downside support at 4130, short-term rebound resistance first at 4200, core pressure at 4230. Before the price breaks out of this range, maintain a consolidation mindset. In terms of operations, one can sell high and buy low, accumulating profits in batches. As for silver, the rebound that started from the 55 support has performed impressively. Indicators combined with bottom divergence and a double-bottom structure taking shape basically confirm that this round of silver's bottom has been established. Going forward, the key focus should be on upward momentum and upside space; trend confirmation requires waiting for the price to break above 62 before further assessment. Accumulated gold and Rongtong gold: continued reminders that October is not suitable for frequent trading. The short-term market is oscillating back and forth, and repeatedly entering positions offers very low cost-effectiveness. It is recommended to keep a base position and hold patiently, waiting for the October market. If the bullish trend starts in October, the first target is 930, with an optimistic expectation of up to 950. The market will most likely materialize around the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on October 28. There is no need for excessive anxiety; just patiently wait for market signals.

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