Market News Analysis: On Thursday, April 30th, international gold extended its rebound during the early session, supported by a temporary pause in the US dollar and crude oil's upward momentum. However, both the technical and fundamental outlooks for the US dollar and crude oil remain strong, suggesting they may continue to exert downward pressure on gold prices later. Key data releases to watch in the evening include US initial jobless claims, core PCE, and Q1 GDP figures, with market expectations generally leaning bearish for gold. The recommended trading strategy remains to look for shorting opportunities following price rebounds.
Gold Price Analysis: Gold prices experienced a dip and subsequent recovery on Wednesday, touching a low of 4510 before staging a V-shaped rebound to close above 4550. On the daily chart, moving averages are arranged in a bearish pattern. While the MACD histogram is contracting, a golden cross has not yet formed. A break above the 4650 resistance level could open the path for further gains towards 4720-4850. On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are opening downwards with dense moving average resistance overhead. A weak MACD golden cross at low levels indicates short-term corrective demand, but the overall trend remains weak. During the early H4 session, prices broke above short-term moving averages, with key resistance seen at 4650 (30-day moving average). The intraday strategy continues to favor shorting on rallies, with resistance levels monitored at 4600-4650 and support levels watched at 4500-4480.
Intraday Gold Trading Strategy: Consider short positions on a rebound to 4580-4585, with a stop loss at 4600 and a target of 4510-4500.
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