Morningstar has upheld its fair value estimate for PING AN (02318) at HK$84. The insurer's post-tax operating profit margin is projected to accelerate to 10% by 2025, primarily driven by enhanced profitability in property and casualty insurance underwriting, benefiting from reduced catastrophe losses, alongside diminished losses in asset management operations. The company's results met expectations, highlighting improvements in cross-border insurance activities and a reduction in risks within its banking and asset management segments, which support Morningstar's forecast of high-single-digit growth in PING AN's post-tax operating profit margin by 2030. PING AN's bancassurance business only began expanding beyond its subsidiary Ping An Bank in 2023, yet its bancassurance margin has already reached 29%, comparable to AIA's (01299) 35% and nearly double the 15% average of domestic peers, while leading the industry in new business value from bancassurance. New business value from PING AN's bancassurance channel surged 139% in 2025 and is anticipated to grow over 40% in 2026. Agent channel NBV increased by 10%, with agent headcount maintaining double-digit growth since 2023. It is projected that this growth will rise to approximately 15% by 2026 as participating products gain broader market acceptance.
Comments