Shares of CHALCO (02600.HK) have declined by more than 3%, marking a cumulative drop of approximately 15% over the past three trading sessions.
As of the latest update, the stock was down 3.21% to HK$8.74, with a turnover of HK$689 million.
The recent market movement is attributed to a peace agreement between the United States and Iran, which significantly increases the likelihood of the Strait of Hormuz reopening.
According to analysts, the short-term market focus has shifted to expectations of production resumption, with the potential easing of supply constraints from the Middle East putting downward pressure on aluminum prices.
In a recent report, Goldman Sachs noted that industry discussions indicate an acceleration in aluminum supply growth both within and outside China, driven by robust industry profits.
The bank forecasts that China's aluminum capacity will exceed 48 million tons by the end of 2026.
Consequently, Goldman Sachs has downgraded its rating on CHALCO to "Sell" and lowered its 12-month target price to HK$7.5.
Comments