Citigroup has issued a research report reiterating a HK$42 price target for XIAOMI-W (01810) alongside a "Buy" rating. The new Xiaomi SU7 model is priced at 219,900 yuan, with orders reaching 15,000 units within 34 minutes of sales commencement. The report indicates that, considering additional promotional offerings and rising component costs, the gross margin for the SU7 may be lower than initially projected for the vehicle's launch phase. Xiaomi is providing a 20,000 yuan incentive and承诺 vehicle delivery within five weeks. The report notes that inventory preparations for this launch have been underway since January.
The report also highlights Xiaomi's recent introduction of large AI models such as MiMo-V2-Pro, a model with over 1000B total parameters and 42B activated parameters. This model achieved eighth place in an artificial intelligence analytics index just one week after its release. Xiaomi has committed to investing 60 billion yuan in AI over three years. Notably, Xiaomi's HAD (Full-Scenario End-to-End Intelligent Driving System) and the XLA MiMo Embodied model represent key applications, while Xiaomi's comprehensive IoT ecosystem provides enhanced scenarios for AI implementation.
In response to investor inquiries regarding valuation methodologies for Xiaomi's large language models, the report conducted a scenario analysis for reference. A simplified scenario analysis suggests: based on 187 million monthly active smartphone users in China, assuming 10% convert to paying users willing to subscribe for over 10 yuan monthly, and applying a 30x price-to-sales ratio, this could generate a valuation exceeding 67 billion yuan.
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