大进大出！这周北向资金在打什么算盘？

上海证券报2021-08-02

本周A股市场风格快速切换，北向资金的流向也呈现出大幅波动的特征：周初A股、港股全线下挫，北向资金两个交易日累计流出额近170亿元；而周三周四，随着市场情绪回暖，北向资金再度累计回流超120亿元。数据显示，在市场激烈的变化中，北向资金开始逆势买入部分超跌的金融和消费类赛道的龙头公司。中国平安、伊利股份、海天味业等个股的北向资金本周加仓幅度居前。北向资金月内调仓？ 7月26日北向资金单日净流出再度...

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2021-08-02
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What is the abacus of northbound funds this week?","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4d3c5bbc1b8c174656eac3d82754736","symbols_score_info":{},"content_text":"本周A股市场风格快速切换，北向资金的流向也呈现出大幅波动的特征：周初A股、港股全线下挫，北向资金两个交易日累计流出额近170亿元；而周三周四，随着市场情绪回暖，北向资金再度累计回流超120亿元。\n数据显示，在市场激烈的变化中，北向资金开始逆势买入部分超跌的金融和消费类赛道的龙头公司。中国平安、伊利股份、海天味业等个股的北向资金本周加仓幅度居前。\n北向资金月内调仓？\n7月26日北向资金单日净流出再度超过100亿元，这是自沪深港通开通以来，北向资金第13次净流出金额超百亿元，单日净卖出额创下近1年新高。\n虽然创出阶段新高的资金流出发生在本周，但近月以来北向资金似乎在调仓。\n7月共21个交易日中，有三个交易日北向资金单日净流入或净流出金额超过百亿元。其中7月14日，北向资金单日大幅净卖出108.06亿元，随后又于15日反手净买入123.98亿元。其短期操作呈现出快进快出特征。\n\n南北资金流向\n不过整体来看，虽然本周累计净流出24.46亿元，但7月整体北向资金仍然呈现净买入态势，金额达107.62亿元。\n\n兴业证券统计显示，结构上来看，托管于国际银行的配置型外资作为加仓A股的主要力量，7月以来却出现超70亿元的净流出。兴业证券策略团队分析认为，首先外资对A股市场三季度的走势有所不确定；其次全球疫情反复，外资出于防御性的减仓行为，暂时回流美国和发达市场 。\n开源证券牟一凌策略团队认为，对于北向重仓股而言，不管是北向整体还是分托管席位，前10大重仓股的平均跌幅在4.4%左右，在全A中排在后10%~15%。而公募2021二季度的前10大重仓股平均下跌5.39%。开源证券表示，这意味着当前市场并未出现任何外资大幅撤出中国的证据，近期市场的波动并非是资金流动导致的共振，而更像是风险情绪的扩散。\n北向资金在交易什么？\n从具体操作来看，剧烈波动的外资取舍之间，又在交易哪些公司呢？\n统计数据显示，北向资金本周以来对长期青睐的蓝筹白马股呈分歧态度：贵州茅台、东方财富和京东方A等个股遭抛售，但部分超跌的食品饮料、医药类的消费股以及金融股获得北向资金的低吸。\n今年以来股价持续低迷的中国平安本周获得北向资金的连续买入：本周北向资金共计加仓中国平安超3000万股，持股比例上升了3.62个百分点，在北向资金前十大重仓股中加仓幅度最前。持股数占流通A股比例为4月21日以来新高。\n此前跌幅较深的海天味业、伊利股份、中国中免等消费类龙头股，以及恒瑞医药、迈瑞医疗为代表的医药赛道龙头同样获得了北向资金不同幅度的加仓。\n\n本周以来北向资金前二十大重仓股持股变动\n另一方面，新能源龙头宁德时代本周遭北向资金小幅减仓超40万股。从更长时间轴看，7月以来北向资金对宁德时代整体同样持抛售态度，持股比例整体下降0.34个百分点，累计减持近700万股。\n除宁德时代以外，不少前期累计涨幅较前的新能源、半导体概念个股均遭到北向资金的抛售。恩捷股份、阳光电源、上海贝岭、兆易创新等个股7月以来北向资金持股比例下降均超过1个百分点。\n此外，军工板块遭北向资金集体抛售，中航光电、中国重工、中航西飞、中航沈飞等多只军工股遭北向资金减仓幅度居前。\n加仓个股方面，北向资金7月持股比例变动幅度较前的主要仍集中在半年报业绩向好的部分化工、制造业、医药类个股。公牛集团、捷昌驱动、万华化学、海尔生物、泰和新材等个股加仓幅度居前。\n\n7月以来北向资金持股变动\n光大证券策略团队则认为，部分北向资金或根据半年报业绩调整配置。6月以来也是A股上市公司密集披露业绩预告的时期，业绩预告的结果整体较好，大部分行业中已经披露业绩预告的公司大多预喜，其中北向资金流入较多的电子、电气设备等行业也有70%以上的预喜率。\n从配置方向上看，北向资金对于龙头股的配置风格或将延续，但对于具体个股的选择上或更偏好于景气度相对更高的行业龙头。历史上看，财报季业绩超预期的个股流入规模也往往更大，建议关注未来业绩有望超预期的龙头公司。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":805513155,"gmtCreate":1627891373277,"gmtModify":1703497283944,"author":{"id":"3585964302651088","authorId":"3585964302651088","name":"GoodLuck0102","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/344a326f3c2ab4d67b3f22a58a26f13f","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3585964302651088","authorIdStr":"3585964302651088"},"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/805513155","repostId":1154823024,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":13,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.2","shortVersion":"4.29.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1154823024"}