谁是安倍倒下后的下一张“多米诺牌”?

川阅全球宏观2022-07-10

从OPEC秘书长巴尔金多意外身亡,到日本前首相安倍晋三意外被袭。能将这些事件串联起来的市场叙事可能是通胀已经从经济问题演变成政治和社会问题(当然,安倍遇刺背后还有宗教的因素):油价是2022年通胀高企的重要导火索,但是OPEC迟迟未能有效提高产量缓解不断趋紧的供需格局(图1);而日本央行在通胀上涨的情况下依旧无限制坚持YCC(收益率曲线控制政策)和政策宽松,现任央行行长黑田东彦是安倍经济学(通过...

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