Today, Saturday, May 16th, the domestic oil market is in a weekend lull. The countdown stands at just 5 days until the opening of the 2026 tenth round refined oil product price adjustment window at 24:00 on May 21st. The current pricing cycle has completed 6 working days, representing 60% of the statistical progress. With only 4 effective statistical days remaining in the cycle, the projected price decrease has narrowed from an initial sharp drop of 0.20 yuan per liter to a reduction of 0.06 yuan per liter, bringing it perilously close to a scenario of no adjustment. If international oil prices continue to trade at high levels next week without a significant pullback, it is highly probable this round will mirror the previous one, shifting directly from a projected decrease to an actual increase. Market participants are advised to closely monitor international crude oil trends and await the final adjustment result on May 21st.
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