Citigroup has issued a research report adjusting its forecast for Macau's gross gaming revenue in June. The report states that, according to industry sources, the estimated gross gaming revenue for the first 21 days of June reached approximately MOP 13.2 billion. The average daily run-rate stands at around MOP 600 million, representing a decline of roughly 18% compared to the daily average in May (approximately MOP 729 million). However, this figure is about 2% higher than the rate observed during the week of June 8th (around MOP 586 million). This trend is largely consistent with observations from the bank's latest gaming table surveys.
The bank attributes part of this trend to the ongoing FIFA World Cup, which it believes is diverting a portion of the betting budgets typically allocated by Macau's gambling patrons. Industry sources indicate that VIP rolling chip volume has decreased by approximately 16% to 19% month-on-month, while mass market gross gaming revenue has declined by about 12% to 15%. The VIP win rate appears to be higher than the previous week.
Reflecting these updated gross gaming revenue trends, Citigroup has revised its forecast for June 2026's gross gaming revenue downward from MOP 19.0 billion to MOP 18.75 billion, which would represent an 11% year-on-year decrease. This revised projection implies that the average daily gross gaming revenue for the remainder of the month would need to reach approximately MOP 617 million to meet the new target.
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