BlackRock: AI Debt Presents Better Opportunity Than Long-Term US Treasuries

Deep News10-27

The AI financing wave is reshaping the investment landscape of the global fixed income market.

Rick Rieder, BlackRock's Global Chief Investment Officer of Fixed Income, said the AI-driven debt financing boom is creating the most attractive fixed income investment opportunities in recent years, with appeal that has surpassed long-term US Treasuries. He revealed that he spent the entire past weekend reviewing and participating in some of these sizable deals. AI-related financing has given investors return options unmatched by the low-yield bond era of previous decades.

On the market impact level, Rieder pointed out that the 10-year US Treasury has "taken a back seat" in fixed income allocation. Although its yield has broken through 5%, he tends to view this benchmark bond more as a barometer for the market — especially the stock market — rather than a core investment target. Meanwhile, short-duration, single-A rated portfolios can offer yields of about 7%, achieving better returns while avoiding the interest rate risk of long-term government debt.

AI Financing Scale Is Unprecedented

Tech giants are releasing an unprecedented torrent of capital into the AI sector. In 2026, AI-related financing in the global high-grade market has exceeded $300 billion, roughly three times the same period last year, and annual tech financing scale is on track to challenge an annual record. Rieder said he has never seen financing of such scale flow into both the bond market and equity market simultaneously, calling it "one of the most exciting investment periods of my career."

This week alone, several heavyweight deals have emerged in succession: Broadcom arranged a $63 billion deal to finance chip procurement for AI model developer Anthropic; SpaceX signed an approximately $40 billion equipment financing lease agreement with Apollo Global Management; Meta is seeking to raise up to $95 billion through a stock offering, potentially one of the largest equity financings in history; Anthropic has also filed for an IPO and warned it may seek financing earlier than expected.

Secured Short-Term Debt Outperforms Long-Term Treasuries

Facing this financing wave, Rieder has expressed clear allocation preferences. He favors secured debt from established companies backed by cash-flow-supporting assets, and believes valuations of semiconductor and computing-power-related stocks remain reasonable. On the fixed income side, the surge in financing for GPUs, data centers, and other AI infrastructure has particularly drawn his attention.

He noted that pricing on new bond issuance has improved compared to the past, offering investors a more attractive entry point. Currently, short-duration single-A rated portfolios can provide yields of about 7%, and Rieder said: "I've spent most of my career waiting for a 7% yield." In contrast, driven by factors including expanded government borrowing and intensified competition for capital, the 10-year US Treasury yield has risen about 80 basis points this year, but Rieder still views it as a relatively weakened allocation option.

Hyperscalers May Siphon Away Treasury Funds

As hyperscale cloud operators such as Amazon and Alphabet issue record-breaking bonds, concerns are gradually mounting over whether these funds will divert demand from Treasuries. US Treasury Secretary Bessent has criticized this, arguing that these companies are issuing debt at the wrong point on the yield curve and accusing the industry of insufficient communication with communities that are hesitant about data centers.

Pablo Salame, Co-Chief Investment Officer of Citadel, also issued a warning, saying the massive capital demand generated by the AI boom is colliding with cautious lenders unwilling to bear all the risk, and this tension will ultimately cause some market casualties. Rieder did not shy away from this risk but maintained an overall optimistic stance, believing that pricing conditions in the current new issuance market already provide sufficient compensation for investors.

Outside the United States, Rieder said he is bullish on investment opportunities in long-end Japanese interest rates and believes emerging market yields are equally attractive, but cautioned investors to watch for risks from political events, including uncertainty surrounding Brazil's elections.

Regarding French government bonds, Rieder said he remains cautious and expects volatility to persist, thus maintaining limited exposure.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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