U.S.-Iran Conflict Escalates, U.S. Stocks Reverse in V-Shaped Pattern, Mag 7 Enters Correction, Dollar Hits Yearly High, Gold and Silver Extend Losses

Deep News03-14

Escalating U.S. strikes on Iran and the Pentagon's deployment of additional troops to the Middle East pushed Brent crude above $100, while major U.S. stock indices reversed early gains in a V-shaped pattern. Weak U.S. economic data initially boosted Treasury bonds, but the rally faded. Reinflation expectations supported the U.S. dollar, which rose for three consecutive days to a new yearly high.

On Friday, the S&P 500 erased nearly 1% of its early gains and closed 0.6% lower, ending the week down approximately 1.6%. The three major U.S. stock indices fell for the second consecutive week, hovering near their 200-day moving averages.

The Magnificent 7 index entered correction territory, with Meta closing down 3.83%, marking its largest single-day decline since October 30. Microsoft, Tesla, and Amazon have each fallen more than 10% this year.

Weak GDP and stagnant PCE data indicated a slowdown in U.S. economic growth momentum even before the outbreak of conflict. Treasury yields initially dipped but later reversed, with the 10-year yield rising 1 basis point, while the 2-year yield fell 2.8 basis points.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.6%, reaching its highest level since November of last year. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index hit a new closing high for 2026.

Bitcoin surged more than 5% to $74,000 before retreating, while Ethereum rose 2.4% from the previous day's close. Since the escalation of U.S.-Iran tensions, Bitcoin has significantly outperformed gold.

Spot gold fell 1.2%, extending losses for the third consecutive day. Spot silver dropped more than 4%, briefly falling below the $80 mark during the session.

On Friday, the three major U.S. stock indices reversed early gains in a V-shaped pattern. The S&P 500 erased nearly 1% of its early gains and closed 0.6% lower, ending the week down approximately 1.6%. The Magnificent 7 index entered correction territory, with Meta posting its largest single-day decline in over four months. Microsoft, Tesla, and Amazon have each fallen more than 10% this year.

U.S. benchmark stock indices: - The S&P 500 fell 40.43 points, or 0.61%, to 6,632.19. - The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 119.38 points, or 0.26%, to 46,558.47. - The Nasdaq Composite dropped 206.62 points, or 0.93%, to 22,105.36. - The Nasdaq 100 Index fell 152.85 points, or 0.62%, to 24,380.73. - The Russell 2000 Index slipped 0.36% to 2,480.05. - The VIX volatility index fell 0.37% to 27.19.

U.S. sector ETFs: - The AI and Robotics sector fell 2.14%, while banking, consumer discretionary, industrial, and healthcare ETFs declined up to 0.71%. The Solar Energy ETF rose 1.14%.

Magnificent 7 stocks: - The Magnificent 7 index fell 1.56%, bringing its weekly decline to 1.31%. - Meta dropped 3.83%, Apple fell 2.21%, Nvidia declined 1.58%, Microsoft slid 1.57%, Tesla dipped 0.96%, Amazon lost 0.89%, and Google Class A slipped 0.42%. - Year-to-date, Microsoft, Tesla, and Amazon have fallen between 10.03% and 18.02%.

Semiconductor stocks: - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index edged up 0.05% to 7,646.64. - AMD fell 2.20%, while TSMC rose 0.48%.

Chinese stocks: - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose 0.76% to 7,148.21, gaining 2.69% for the week. - Among popular Chinese stocks, Nio rose 5.5%, Tencent Music gained 3.5%, ZTO Express advanced 2.4%, and Canadian Solar increased 2.1%.

Other notable stocks: - Berkshire Hathaway Class B fell 0.38%, while Eli Lilly rose 0.80%. - Adobe dropped 7.58%, Broadcom declined 4.11%, Salesforce fell 3.24%, Oracle lost 2.54%, Qualcomm slipped 1.01%, and Netflix rose 1.06%. - Year-to-date, Adobe has fallen 28.76%, while Salesforce, Qualcomm, and Oracle have declined between 20.21% and 27.21%.

European markets fell about 0.5% for the week, with real estate stocks down more than 4.3%, construction materials down over 2.7%, and oil and gas stocks rising 5%. German stocks fell 0.6%, Italian banking stocks declined 2%, and Norwegian equities rose over 2%.

Pan-European indices: - The STOXX Europe 600 fell 0.50% to 595.85, down 0.47% for the week, extending last week's 5.55% decline. - The Euro STOXX 50 dropped 0.56% to 5,716.61, falling 0.06% for the week after a 6.82% drop the previous week.

National indices: - Germany's DAX 30 fell 0.60% to 23,447.29, down 0.61% for the week. - France's CAC 40 declined 0.91% to 7,911.53, losing 1.03% over the week. - The UK's FTSE 100 slipped 0.43% to 10,261.15, down 0.23% for the week.

European sectors: - The STOXX 600 Real Estate Index fell 4.32% for the week, Construction and Materials dropped 2.74%, Travel and Leisure declined 2.53%, Banking lost 2.23%, Personal and Household Goods fell 2.19%, and Healthcare dipped 2.03%.

Brent crude closed above $100 for two consecutive sessions, gaining about 11.3% for the week. According to the CFTC, speculative net long positions in WTI crude increased by 28,000 contracts to 136,419, an eight-month high.

Oil: - WTI April crude futures rose $2.98, or over 3.11%, to $98.71 per barrel, up more than 8.59% for the week. - Brent May crude futures gained $2.68, or about 2.67%, to $103.14 per barrel, rising over 11.27% for the week after reaching $119.50 on March 9.

Natural gas: - NYMEX April natural gas futures settled at $3.1310 per million British thermal units.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment