Citigroup has issued a research report announcing a direct upgrade of COSCO SHIP HOLD (01919) H-shares from "Sell" to "Buy," concurrently raising the target price from HK$12.1 to HK$15.9. Despite market sentiment towards the container shipping industry remaining predominantly negative through late 2025, primarily influenced by concentrated demand in the first half of 2025 and the eventual restoration of Suez Canal transit, Citigroup maintains a positive outlook on the risk-reward prospects for shipping companies in the Asia-Pacific region. The bank believes that freight rates are poised for an uptick in the first half of 2026, driven by inventory replenishment demand in Western economies and managed supply. It notes that Asia-Pacific shipping companies currently present attractive valuations, trading at a forecasted 2026 price-to-book ratio of only 0.6 to 0.8 times, with the sector's overall net cash position providing additional support. Citigroup highlighted that COSCO SHIP HOLD boasts net cash per share of HK$12, while the negative impacts from weak domestic transportation demand in China and cost pressures at US ports have gradually diminished.
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