According to an analyst from XS.com, the recent significant drop in oil prices does not yet signal a persistent downward trend. Following a ceasefire agreement, Israel's attacks on Beirut and parts of southern Lebanon have reignited concerns over supply disruptions, leading to a rebound in oil prices as investors adjusted their expectations. However, the analyst noted that the current price recovery does not necessarily reflect an actual physical supply shortage but is primarily driven by the reintroduction of risk premiums. The analyst further stated that near-month West Texas Intermediate crude is expected to remain highly volatile and trade within a range, fluctuating between $90 and $105 per barrel. It was added that oil prices will depend on whether tensions in the Middle East escalate into a structural risk of supply disruption or remain confined to short-term psychological impacts.
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