Crude Oil: Brent Swings as Traders Weigh Reports on US-Iran Negotiation Progress

Deep News10-21

Brent crude slipped slightly in choppy intraday trading as traders assessed the latest news on US-Iran negotiations amid ongoing turbulence in the Middle East.

The global benchmark settled near $109 a barrel after Bloomberg reported that claims of the US and Iran being close to a deal were inaccurate.

Earlier, an unverified report about Iran war talks pushed oil down from a five-month high, with prices falling as much as 3.3% during the session before paring losses; European natural gas futures also declined.

With conflicts intensifying across the Middle East, crude prices have climbed about 80% this year, and Iran has recently stepped up attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.

Although traders have increasingly shrugged off war-related rhetoric, especially statements from Washington aimed at talking down oil prices, any news suggesting a material change in oil flows could still trigger sharp market swings.

Traders are particularly wary that the White House may seek to ease tensions with Iran before the November 3 midterm elections, as soaring energy costs are set to become a major voter concern.

Nearly five months ago, when oil last sustained a longer stretch above $100 a barrel, the US and Iran reached a brief ceasefire that temporarily reopened the Strait of Hormuz, a key energy transit route.

"At a point this close to the election, market perception matters as much as fundamentals," said Dan Pickering, chief investment officer at Pickering Energy Partners. "People worry that market-moving news could emerge, so they also take profits more quickly."

Brent crude futures for December delivery fell 0.7% to settle at $108.79 a barrel.

WTI crude futures for December delivery fell 0.7% to settle at $97.82 a barrel.

The November contract, which expires Tuesday, fell 1.8% to settle at $101.79 a barrel.

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