AirBnB: Better Business Results, but Still Not a Buy

InvestorPlace2021-05-21

AirBnB stock is down even while results rise over their pre-pandemic levels.AirBnB(NASDAQ:ABNB) stock, which rose fast as the economic reopening approached, has fallen hard lately.Source: AngieYeoh / ...

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Comments

Ajinomoto
2021-05-21
Ajinomoto
Euro opening up . Hmmm ? maybe for long term.
XavierAwe
2021-05-21
XavierAwe
Same
Holla
2021-05-21
Holla
Like my comment pls
- ckww:
  Done
Wilbin
2021-05-21
Wilbin
Wa
Hipposaurus
2021-05-21
Hipposaurus
Wow. Comment pls
- Hipposaurus:
  thanks
- CYau:
  Wow
CYau
2021-05-21
CYau
Like and comment?
- CYau:
  Thanks
- Hipposaurus:
  done
- CYau:
  Wow

Leave a comment

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The amount of unearned fees more than doubled to $946 million, meaning more growth is on the way.The stock, however, remained on the downward trajectory it has held for three months. It opened for trade May 19 at about $137/share. That’s still a market cap of around $85 billion, on what should be sales of $3.4 billion for the year. But it’s well down from a February high of $219.94.It Was Too HighI’m high on the ABNB business model. I’ve used the service. I’ve been satisfied. But when I’ve looked at the numbers, soon afterits December IPO and againin April, I haven’t seen a buying opportunity.Back in January, for instance, ABNB stock was worth even more thanBooking.Com(NASDAQ:BKNG), the longtime leader in travel reservations. That has since reversed, but Booking is still a better business. It had 2020 revenue of $6.8 billion, it should benefit from a return to travel, and it has a broader product line.The travel reservation business looks like a two-horse race, with AirBnB stock and Booking stock miles ahead of rivalExpedia(NASDAQ:EXPE). But look again. Expedia’s revenues were higher than AirBnB’s last year. It has its own home rental arm, called Vrbo, which istaking market sharefrom AirBnB. But EXPE’s value is still under $25 billion. To me that makes it a better value.Old Problems ReturnBooking and Expedia grew up within the old travel ecosystem of planes, hotels, and rental cars. The argument of AirBnB bulls is that this is broken, disrupted by “the people” getting into the business.That’s still the argument. The 31 analysts at Tipranks covering AirBnB stock still have anaverage price target of $181.28.But the return of travel also brought back AirBnB’s pre-pandemic problems. Guerilla action is growing against“illegal”AirBnBs let in violation of city ordinances.  Tenant groups argue they’re being priced out by one-night rentals and the problem of homelessness is increasing.Cities around the world, especially in popular European destinations, aretightening rulesagainst AirBnB.  The pressure is likely to increase this year. Many AirBnBs reverted to rental housing during the pandemic, for regular income. Reopening means units will go back to being offered as nightly rentals, stranding the new tenants.Small wonder that some traders havelost faithin the AirBnB model, even while CEO Brian Chesky says he’s ready to“conquer a reopened world.”But how much of that growth will come from disruption and how much from just cutting costs? Chesky is moving workers out of San Francisco andinto Atlanta, where the rents are lower and the citycelebrates tech tenantsinstead of vilifying them. That’s a hit for profits. The underlying business problems will remain.ABNB Stock: The Bottom LineAirBnB should be worth a premium price. It should continue to grow.But the premium is too high right now. If I were buying a travel stock it would be Expedia, which trades at about 6 times sales. AirBnB is trading at closer to 20 times sales.AirBnB does havemarketing advantages over its rivals. Its brand name is dominant when you’re looking to rent a house for a day or a week. But how much of the travel market will that represent? That’s the question I’m asking as the world emerges from lockdown, blinks its eyes, and looks to travel again.On the date of publication, Dana Blankenhorn did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":139192939,"gmtCreate":1621598557521,"gmtModify":1704360304896,"author":{"id":"3577082443804507","authorId":"3577082443804507","name":"Ajinomoto","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2cf9b6c2dc1db3b2efff9a5448092468","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577082443804507","authorIdStr":"3577082443804507"},"htmlText":"Euro opening up . Hmmm ? maybe for long term.&nbsp;","listText":"Euro opening up . Hmmm ? maybe for long term.&nbsp;","text":"Euro opening up . Hmmm ? maybe for long term.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/139192939","repostId":1177719742,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":139933249,"gmtCreate":1621582786581,"gmtModify":1704360034253,"author":{"id":"3569273453559983","authorId":"3569273453559983","name":"XavierAwe","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8889e85a368f471766f0e82fb4a508f9","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3569273453559983","authorIdStr":"3569273453559983"},"htmlText":"Same","listText":"Same","text":"Same","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/139933249","repostId":1177719742,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":139079733,"gmtCreate":1621579238922,"gmtModify":1704359990890,"author":{"id":"3565687171198207","authorId":"3565687171198207","name":"Holla","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0b0e402ff8043410cc67ffccbfe2174","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3565687171198207","authorIdStr":"3565687171198207"},"htmlText":"Like my comment pls&nbsp;","listText":"Like my comment pls&nbsp;","text":"Like my comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/139079733","repostId":1177719742,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4400438,"gmtCreate":1621579394412,"gmtModify":1680790093758,"authorId":3581586523786578,"author":{"id":3581586523786578,"idStr":"3581586523786578","authorId":3581586523786578,"name":"ckww","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc2cc1ef6533d547201ce880e7c04b9c","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":139079733,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>Done</u>","text":"<u>Done</u>","html":"<u>Done</u>"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":139048401,"gmtCreate":1621578525903,"gmtModify":1704359981301,"author":{"id":"3584671780806222","authorId":"3584671780806222","name":"Wilbin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d599d09002f0232b4f2e45674bbb9799","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3584671780806222","authorIdStr":"3584671780806222"},"htmlText":"Wa","listText":"Wa","text":"Wa","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/139048401","repostId":1177719742,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":139048575,"gmtCreate":1621578520297,"gmtModify":1704359980815,"author":{"id":"3576672028211051","authorId":"3576672028211051","name":"Hipposaurus","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66076a5767c5d8616ed31ebd48495f11","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576672028211051","authorIdStr":"3576672028211051"},"htmlText":"Wow. Comment pls","listText":"Wow. Comment pls","text":"Wow. Comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/139048575","repostId":1177719742,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4487118,"gmtCreate":1622215141155,"gmtModify":1680791628378,"authorId":3576672028211051,"author":{"id":3576672028211051,"idStr":"3576672028211051","authorId":3576672028211051,"name":"Hipposaurus","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66076a5767c5d8616ed31ebd48495f11","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":139048575,"type":1,"supId":4400391,"prevId":0,"content":"<u>thanks</u>","text":"<u>thanks</u>","html":"<u>thanks</u>"},{"id":4400391,"gmtCreate":1621578587762,"gmtModify":1680790093777,"authorId":3570939692047814,"author":{"id":3570939692047814,"idStr":"3570939692047814","authorId":3570939692047814,"name":"CYau","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a2e95f0892ea42f2c8b533a3c4db200","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":139048575,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Wow","text":"Wow","html":"Wow"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":139048833,"gmtCreate":1621578502122,"gmtModify":1704359980329,"author":{"id":"3570939692047814","authorId":"3570939692047814","name":"CYau","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a2e95f0892ea42f2c8b533a3c4db200","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a8758340a08196056f8bc1e54805193","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3570939692047814","authorIdStr":"3570939692047814"},"htmlText":"Like and comment?","listText":"Like and comment?","text":"Like and comment?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/139048833","repostId":1177719742,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4400389,"gmtCreate":1621578579706,"gmtModify":1680790087841,"authorId":3570939692047814,"author":{"id":3570939692047814,"idStr":"3570939692047814","authorId":3570939692047814,"name":"CYau","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a2e95f0892ea42f2c8b533a3c4db200","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":139048833,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","html":"Thanks"},{"id":4400381,"gmtCreate":1621578535382,"gmtModify":1680790087372,"authorId":3576672028211051,"author":{"id":3576672028211051,"idStr":"3576672028211051","authorId":3576672028211051,"name":"Hipposaurus","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66076a5767c5d8616ed31ebd48495f11","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":139048833,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"done","text":"done","html":"done"},{"id":4400400,"gmtCreate":1621578686392,"gmtModify":1680790086650,"authorId":3570939692047814,"author":{"id":3570939692047814,"idStr":"3570939692047814","authorId":3570939692047814,"name":"CYau","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a2e95f0892ea42f2c8b533a3c4db200","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":139048833,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Wow","text":"Wow","html":"Wow"}],"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":12,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.1","shortVersion":"4.29.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1177719742"}