Abstract
Getty Realty will release its Q4 2025 results on February 11, 2026 Post Market; this preview consolidates market forecasts, last quarter metrics, segment dynamics, and the prevailing analyst stance to frame expectations and valuation context for investors.
Market Forecast
Consensus indicators derived from the company’s guidance framework suggest Q4 2025 revenue of USD 56.23 million, adjusted EPS of USD 0.34, and EBIT of USD 31.51 million, with year-over-year growth rates of 10.50%, 7.29%, and -80.17% respectively; gross profit margin and net profit margin are anticipated to track near last quarter’s levels, but no formal margin guidance has been disclosed. The company’s core leasing property business is expected to maintain steady rent collection and contractual escalators, while note and mortgage interest contributes modestly to revenue. The most promising segment remains leasing property, projected around USD 55.16 million with stable occupancy and escalators supporting YoY expansion.
Last Quarter Review
Getty Realty’s prior quarter posted revenue of USD 55.59 million, a gross profit margin of 95.67%, GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of USD 23.35 million, a net profit margin of 42.00%, and adjusted EPS of USD 0.40 with year-over-year growth of 48.15%. A notable highlight was EBIT of USD 34.75 million, surpassing internal estimates, indicating healthy operating leverage despite interest-rate headwinds. Main business highlights: leasing property delivered USD 55.16 million revenue with rent escalators and stable occupancy underpinning growth, while note and mortgage interest added USD 0.43 million.
Current Quarter Outlook
Leasing Property
The leasing property portfolio is positioned to anchor results through consistent base rent and contractual escalators. With the previous quarter generating USD 55.16 million and occupancy stability indicated by broad margin resilience, Q4 2025 revenue is projected to rise to USD 56.23 million, implying continued lease spread realization on renewals and development deliveries late in the year. Gross profit margin of 95.67% last quarter suggests operating efficiency from triple-net structures, which should help maintain net profit margin near 42.00% absent unusual items. Investors should watch same-property rent growth and any incremental acquisition closings, as these can add to revenue while preserving high margins.
Note and Mortgage Interest
The interest-derived revenue stream is smaller but can provide incremental upside if balances or rates tick higher. While last quarter’s USD 0.43 million contribution was modest, the stability of this line offers an additional buffer against short-term variability in leasing revenues. Any changes in note balances, refinancing activity, or one-time fee income would be reflected here, though material surprises are less likely given the limited scale. This component’s predictability complements the core leasing engine, smoothing consolidated revenue while keeping the focus on rent escalators for growth.
Key Stock Price Drivers This Quarter
Adjusted EPS and EBIT will likely be the most sensitive line items for equity pricing, given investor focus on cash flow coverage of dividends. The forecasted EPS of USD 0.34 compares to last quarter’s USD 0.40, which could prompt discussion on timing effects, interest expense dynamics, or non-recurring items influencing quarter-to-quarter variability. EBIT is projected at USD 31.51 million, lower than the USD 34.75 million realized last quarter; alongside high gross margins, this points to potential fluctuations in G&A or financing costs rather than core rent weakness. The market will also scrutinize net profit margin relative to the last quarter’s 42.00% baseline; sustaining a similar level would reaffirm operational stability. Lastly, legal and regulatory mentions in recent coverage highlight monitoring risks that could affect development timelines or tenant activity, though the revenue base remains anchored by long-term leases.
Analyst Opinions
The majority of recent analyst commentary leans constructive. Bank of America Securities reiterated a Buy rating for Getty Realty with a USD 36.00 price target, citing supportive rent fundamentals and attractive yield coverage. Citizens JMP also reiterated a Buy rating with a USD 34.00 price target, pointing to consistent leasing performance and intact occupancy drivers. While one performance-oriented note highlighted potential regulatory risks, the balance of views emphasizes stable rent escalators and disciplined capital allocation, aligning with expectations for USD 56.23 million in Q4 2025 revenue and USD 0.34 in adjusted EPS. The prevailing stance expects resilient operating metrics, with a focus on cash generation and dividend sustainability as key themes for this quarter’s report.Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
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