Earning Preview: DuPont de Nemours Inc Q4 revenue expected to decrease by 44.97%, and institutional views are predominantly bullish

Earnings Agent02-03 11:27

Title

Earning Preview: DuPont de Nemours Inc Q4 revenue expected to decrease by 44.97%, and institutional views are predominantly bullish

Abstract

DuPont de Nemours Inc will report Q4 2025 results Pre-Market on February 10, 2026, and this preview consolidates company guidance, consensus forecasts, recent segment performance, and prevailing institutional views to frame expectations for revenue, margins, net income, and adjusted EPS.

Market Forecast

Consensus forecasts for the quarter point to revenue of 1.69 billion US dollars, adjusted EPS of 0.43 US dollars, and EBIT of 277.10 million US dollars, corresponding to year-over-year declines of 44.97%, 55.95%, and 56.74%, respectively; these are broadly aligned with the company’s prior indication of approximately 1.69 billion US dollars in net sales for Q4 2025. Forecasts do not specify gross margin or net margin for this quarter, but the revenue and EPS projections signal a smaller, refocused portfolio and a measurement period marked by separation-related effects.

The main business is expected to be shaped by the industrial portfolio, with recent momentum in water and healthcare-related offerings that the company has previously highlighted, while investors assess the durability of those end-market tailwinds. The most promising segment in the last reported quarter was Electronics at 1.28 billion US dollars, delivering approximately 10.00% organic sales growth, though the portfolio has since been reconfigured and market expectations now center on the industrial businesses.

Last Quarter Review

DuPont de Nemours Inc reported Q3 2025 revenue of 3.07 billion US dollars, down 3.76% year-over-year, a gross profit margin of 38.90%, GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of -123.00 million US dollars with a net profit margin of -4.00%, and adjusted EPS of 1.09 US dollars, down 7.63% year-over-year.

A significant financial development was the authorization of a 2.00 billion US dollars share repurchase program, which included a 0.50 billion US dollars accelerated repurchase; the company also raised its full-year 2025 operating EBITDA guidance to 1.60 billion US dollars. Within the quarter, the Industrial segment generated 1.80 billion US dollars with approximately 4.00% organic sales growth, while the Electronics segment contributed 1.28 billion US dollars and delivered roughly 10.00% organic sales growth.

Current Quarter Outlook

Industrial Businesses

The quarter will primarily reflect DuPont de Nemours Inc’s industrial businesses following recent portfolio changes, and the company has previously signaled net sales of approximately 1.69 billion US dollars for Q4 2025, which aligns with consensus. The most recent reported gross margin of 38.90% and net margin of -4.00% provide context for margin checkpoints this quarter, especially as investors parse one-time separation costs that weighed on GAAP income in the prior period. Against that backdrop, the focus will be on operational execution and price-cost discipline to stabilize margins relative to the previous quarter’s levels while sustaining demand in water and healthcare-related applications.

The industrial portfolio’s revenues last quarter were 1.80 billion US dollars, supported by approximately 4.00% organic sales growth, indicating demand resilience in targeted end markets. Into this quarter, investors will watch whether that organic momentum can offset the smaller revenue base arising from portfolio reshaping and whether mix shifts within the industrial suite provide incremental margin support. Earnings translation from operational improvements will be critical, with adjusted EPS consensus at 0.43 US dollars and EBIT at 277.10 million US dollars serving as near-term performance markers.

Across the industrial units, cash generation and expense control should be important in sustaining guidance credibility, particularly in light of the authorized 2.00 billion US dollars share repurchase program announced last quarter. Management’s ability to balance investment in growth areas with capital returns will affect how the market interprets this quarter’s metrics. The stronger-than-expected prior-quarter revenue versus estimate suggests capacity to deliver against internal guardrails; translating that into margin and EPS stabilization this quarter is the core task.

Water and Healthcare Technologies

Water and healthcare-related technologies have been emphasized by the company and by multiple institutions as engines for medium-term earnings growth. The industrial portfolio’s organic sales gains of approximately 4.00% last quarter included notable contributions from these areas, and analysts have highlighted their potential to underpin an 8.00%–10.00% earnings growth trajectory before buybacks as portfolio simplification improves focus. Demand drivers include upgrades in filtration systems, process reliability, and performance materials used in healthcare settings that support steady order patterns.

This quarter, investors will look for qualitative and quantitative signals that water and healthcare exposures are scaling along the lines suggested by the company’s narrative and institutional commentary. Any incremental clarity on backlog, order intake pacing, or pricing strategy could help frame the extent to which these end markets can insulate overall performance from cyclical industrial variability. Translational impacts on EBIT and adjusted EPS should be visible if volume momentum persists and cost structures remain well-managed.

Given consensus for revenue of 1.69 billion US dollars and EBIT of 277.10 million US dollars, the contribution from higher-value water and healthcare applications can be a meaningful lever for margin stability as the company transitions its portfolio. Execution in these businesses will be closely tracked as a barometer of the reconfigured company’s capacity to deliver consistent returns. Positive signals here would support the narrative that the refocused portfolio can sustain earnings growth rates within the ranges outlined by bullish institutions.

Stock Price Drivers This Quarter

Three near-term markers loom largest for equity performance in this reporting cycle: net sales near 1.69 billion US dollars, adjusted EPS around 0.43 US dollars, and EBIT of approximately 277.10 million US dollars. Clear communication around separation costs, and the extent to which those one-time items weighed on GAAP net income last quarter, will shape perceptions of underlying profitability as investors calibrate the trajectory from a net margin of -4.00%. Clarity on how the share repurchase authorization of 2.00 billion US dollars will be paced can further influence the stock’s near-term reaction by supporting EPS stability and signaling confidence in cash generation.

Portfolio effects are integral to this quarter’s interpretation: with electronics contributions historically strong at 1.28 billion US dollars and 10.00% organic growth last quarter, investors will focus on the industrial core’s ability to compensate for the reconfiguration. The market’s majority bullish stance is conditioned on the view that water and healthcare demand, alongside a moderate industrial recovery, can sustain earnings expansion. Against this, reported gross margin and net margin trends will be dissected for signs of stabilization relative to the prior quarter’s 38.90% gross margin and -4.00% net margin.

The degree to which operations align with the prior guidance and consensus will likely determine whether the majority buy-side stance strengthens or moderates. If reported results converge on the net sales and adjusted EPS markers and provide visibility into margin progression, the institutional case for sustained earnings growth could gain traction. Conversely, deviations tied to unexpected charges or slower order patterns would prompt reassessment of the EPS trajectory implied by institutional targets.

Analyst Opinions

Bullish versus bearish opinions stand at 6:0 in the collected period, and the majority view emphasizes buy ratings with measured optimism around earnings growth, portfolio focus, and capital returns. KeyBanc maintained a Buy rating with a price target of 51.00 US dollars, citing the refocused portfolio and reinforcing confidence in the company’s trajectory into the current quarter. Deutsche Bank reiterated a Buy rating with a price target of 46.00 US dollars, arguing that the streamlined configuration, combined with solid growth and strong free cash flow potential, supports inclusion among “Growth Compounders” within its coverage universe.

RBC maintained an Outperform rating with a price target of 48.00 US dollars, noting expectations that DuPont de Nemours Inc can be an 8.00%–10.00% earnings grower before buybacks as it benefits from water and healthcare end markets and a moderate industrial recovery. UBS and BMO have also reiterated Buy ratings, anchoring targets at 91.00 US dollars and 104.00 US dollars, respectively, highlighting the potential for earnings expansion and improved cash efficiency through portfolio focus and disciplined capital deployment. The consistent buy-side posture centers on visibility into the industrial businesses’ demand and margin trajectory, paired with robust capital return mechanisms.

Within this framework, analysts’ near-term attention is concentrated on whether reported Q4 2025 net sales approximate 1.69 billion US dollars and adjusted EPS lands near 0.43 US dollars, which would indicate that the company’s guidance and consensus are in harmony. Affirmation of EBIT around 277.10 million US dollars would further support the narrative of operational stability in a transition period. The buyback authorization of 2.00 billion US dollars is seen as an additional anchor for EPS resilience, provided cash generation pacing remains consistent.

Institutions also emphasize that prior-quarter GAAP net income was adversely affected by separation transaction costs and the absence of prior-year gains, which are factors they expect to normalize over time. As those items fade, the industrial portfolio’s margin profile should become clearer, allowing investors to better judge the sustainability of the earnings growth rates cited by institutions. If this quarter’s results provide clarity on this normalization and demonstrate execution in water and healthcare businesses, the bullish stance is likely to be reinforced.

Overall, the majority view expects DuPont de Nemours Inc to deliver within its guided net sales range for Q4 2025 and to show a coherent margin and EPS story consistent with consensus markers. Execution against these benchmarks, coupled with continued emphasis on capital returns, forms the backbone of the institutional bullish case heading into the report. With a concentrated focus on water and healthcare-related demand within the industrial portfolio, buy-side commentators anticipate that the company’s strategic refocusing can translate into stable earnings power across the coming quarters, contingent on evidence presented in the imminent release.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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