Abstract
O'Reilly Automotive will release its quarterly results on February 04, 2026 Post Market, with consensus anticipating year-over-year growth across key metrics; this preview consolidates forecasts and recent market commentary to frame expectations and key drivers.
Market Forecast
Consensus for the current quarter points to total revenue of $4.39 billion, an adjusted EPS of $0.73, and EBIT of $0.83 billion, with year-over-year growth of 8.45%, 11.52%, and 9.35%, respectively; margin expectations imply a stable to slightly firm gross profit margin near recent levels and a net profit margin consistent with mid-teens performance. The main business is expected to benefit from steady demand across professional and DIY channels, supported by resilient same-store sales and ongoing share repurchases. The most promising segment in the near term is sales to professional service provider customers, which continue to outpace DIY in mix and growth; revenue leadership from this segment underscores the durability of commercial demand.
Last Quarter Review
O'Reilly Automotive’s previous quarter delivered revenue of $4.71 billion, a gross profit margin of 51.85%, GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of $0.73 billion, a net profit margin of 15.43%, and adjusted EPS of $0.85, with year-over-year increases across each metric. One highlight was quarter-on-quarter net profit growth of 8.57%, reflecting solid operational execution and disciplined cost control. Main business performance was balanced: sales to professional service provider customers reached $2.31 billion and sales to DIY customers reached $2.30 billion, while other sales and adjustments were $0.09 billion.
Current Quarter Outlook
Main Business: Core Retail Auto Parts Network
The core business spans sales to professional service providers and DIY customers across a nationwide store fleet, supported by distribution hubs and inventory availability. Professional sales remain a mix leader, reflecting sustained demand from repair shops and fleets. DIY performance is steady, benefiting from maintenance demand and longer vehicle ages. This quarter, inventory availability, fill rates, and logistics execution will be the key determinants of revenue capture. Management’s historical emphasis on merchandising discipline and rapid part delivery suggests continuity in mid-single-digit same-store sales growth, which supports revenue and margin stability. With prior-quarter gross profit margin at 51.85%, pricing and procurement discipline should help maintain margins even amid mixed-ticket dynamics between the two channels.
Most Promising Business: Professional Service Provider Channel
Sales to professional service providers once again appear positioned to lead growth, helped by resilient miles-driven trends and normalized repair activity. The professional customer base typically favors higher-ticket purchases and more frequent orders, which supports revenue and mix. The previous quarter’s professional revenue of $2.31 billion signals a consistent contribution near one-half of total revenue, and demand indicators suggest continued outperformance versus DIY. If the forecast revenue of $4.39 billion is realized, maintaining or modestly expanding the professional mix would be a positive read-through for margin quality given better conversion and basket size. Execution on delivery timeliness and parts coverage, including hard parts and maintenance categories, will be key to sustaining this edge.
Stock Price Drivers This Quarter
Share performance around the report is likely to be driven by three variables: comparable-store sales trends, margin trajectory, and capital return. Same-store sales have been a durable hallmark, and investors will scrutinize whether mid-single-digit growth persists. Margin commentary will be in focus, with gross profit margin near 51.85% last quarter and the net profit margin at 15.43%; any deviation, driven by mix, cost inflation, or promotional cadence, could move the stock. Capital allocation, particularly buyback magnitude, remains an essential underpinning of EPS growth and may influence sentiment if pace accelerates or moderates. Guidance tone for the remainder of the year, including revenue and EPS ranges, will frame the sustainability of recent momentum. Operational metrics—such as delivery times, staffing, and in-stock rates—will also be pivotal for translating demand into realized sales.
Analyst Opinions
Recent published views have leaned constructive, emphasizing consistent execution, durable same-store sales, and disciplined capital returns; the ratio of bullish to bearish opinions is tilted toward bullish commentary. Strategists highlight that O'Reilly Automotive’s pricing, merchandising, and logistics capabilities underpin its mid-teens net margin profile and support double-digit EPS growth expectations for the quarter. Commentary points to the professional segment’s leadership and a healthy DIY baseline as evidence for sustained top-line expansion. Some valuation caution exists, but the predominant view expects the company to meet or modestly exceed consensus on revenue and EPS, contingent on steady same-store sales and stable gross profit margin dynamics.Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
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