Bank of America Securities has adjusted its rating on China's coal sector to neutral for 2026, citing government measures to control supply and prices, which have largely offset the impact of weak demand. However, the firm noted that market conditions have tightened in recent weeks, increasing supply-side risks. Although the bank had previously lowered its expectations for China's coal imports, uncertainties around policy implementation continue to pose challenges, potentially boosting market sentiment, accelerating stockpiling, and ultimately driving up coal prices.
In its latest research report, Bank of America raised its profit forecasts for Yankuang Energy (01171) by 29% for this year and 34% for next year. The target price for the stock was increased from HK$11.5 to HK$17, and its rating was upgraded from "Neutral" to "Buy." Similarly, the bank raised its profit forecasts for China Shenhua (01088) by 10% to 12% for 2026–2027, lifting the target price from HK$43 to HK$50 and upgrading the rating from "Neutral" to "Buy."
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