Gasoline prices are about to surge, and car owners should check their fuel gauges immediately. The countdown to the 15th round of domestic refined oil price adjustments this year, scheduled for 24:00 on July 31, 2026, is less than a week away. According to monitoring by multiple agencies, gasoline and diesel are expected to rise by 790 yuan per ton. If realized, this will be the second-largest price increase of 2026. Please share this information and fill up your tank in advance.
Current national average prices are as follows: No. 92 Gasoline: average price is about 7.47 yuan per liter, expected to break through 8 yuan per liter after the adjustment; No. 95 Gasoline: average price is about 7.97 yuan per liter, expected to reach 8.40 yuan per liter; No. 0 Diesel: average price is about 7.08 yuan per liter, expected to rise above 7.50 yuan per liter. In other words, many regions will face the risk of No. 92 gasoline "breaking 8" again, while No. 95 gasoline will broadly return to above 8.5 yuan per liter. The joy brought by the "biggest drop of the year" in early July is quickly being eroded.
Today's Oil Price Increase and Decrease Forecast
In the statistical cycle for the 15th round of domestic oil price adjustments, as of July 25, with Sunday being a market holiday, the first five working days show the reference crude oil change rate rising by 17.91%. Gasoline and diesel are expected to increase by about 790 yuan per ton, translating to an increase of 0.61-0.68 yuan per liter. Filling up a 50-liter tank will cost an additional 30.5 to 34 yuan. The price adjustment date is 24:00 on July 31. (Note: Domestic oil price adjustments require a statistical period of 10 working days. The final implementation standard is subject to the official notice from the National Development and Reform Commission. This forecast is for reference only.)
The current pricing cycle began on July 18 and will end at 24:00 on July 31. Initially, the predicted increase was only about 450 yuan per ton, but with international oil prices surging continuously, the forecasted increase has soared from 450 yuan to 780 yuan per ton. Regardless of the calculation, a "significant increase" is almost certain. Furthermore, Zhuochuang Information further assesses that if crude oil continues to be strong, the domestic refined oil retail price could rise by more than 0.8 yuan per liter at 24:00 on July 31. If prices rise by another 750-780 yuan per ton on July 31 as expected, this net increase will further expand. Taking Zhejiang Province as an example, No. 92 gasoline has already accumulated an increase of 0.71 yuan per liter this year. Adding this round's increase of 0.59-0.70 yuan per liter, the total annual increase will easily surpass 1.3 yuan per liter!
Latest Oil Price Reference by Province (Updated July 26): For your convenience, here are the current listed prices for No. 92 gasoline, No. 95 gasoline, and No. 0 diesel across the country (unit: yuan per liter). This data is compiled from the National Development and Reform Commission announcements and public institution estimates (Longzhong Information, Zhuochuang Information, Xinhua News Agency, JLC, etc.). The final adjustment range for the next round will be subject to the official notice from the National Development and Reform Commission on July 31. Follow us for the most straightforward judgments before each price adjustment window—knowing oil price changes early helps you save money on fuel!
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