Fed Set to Pause Rate Hikes, But Don’t Count Out Another Increase

Bloomberg2023-09-20

The Federal Reserve is expected to pause its interest-rate hikes Wednesday for the second time this year following a slowing in inflation while leaving the door open for another increase as early as ...

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The rate decision and committee forecasts will be released at 2 p.m. in Washington. Chair Jerome Powell will hold a press conference 30 minutes later.Powell has signaled that Fed leaders would prefer to wait to evaluate the impact of past increases on the economy as they near the end of their rate-hiking campaign. With inflation still well above the committee’s 2% target and the US economy resilient, officials may pencil in one more hike in their quarterly projections.“They are not confident enough to say they’ve conquered inflation,” said Julia Coronado, founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives LLC and a former Fed economist. “It is still too high. So you just keep your options open. I don’t think Chair Powell is going to give us the all-clear.”“A rate hold at the Sept. 19-20 meeting is a foregone conclusion. Still, the mixed data over the inter-meeting period mean the next move at the Oct. 31-Nov. 1 meeting is less clear. 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