Stock Market Crash Alert: Mark Your Calendars for Jan. 27

InvestorPlace2023-01-25

Stock market crash fears are ramping up ahead of Friday’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report.The inflation report is the last major economic data release before the Federal Reserve’s Feb. ...

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Comments

Khoo12
2023-01-25
Khoo12
Yes
SNeo
2023-01-25
SNeo
[Bless]
JQC
2023-01-25
JQC
Ok
Chris Tan
2023-01-25
Chris Tan
US in deep trouble over debt. Continue to printmoney 🙏🏻
blessed_1
2023-01-25
blessed_1
Thanks
valentia
2023-01-25
valentia
Drama queen la, stock market won't crash 🤣

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In the midst of earnings season, the Jan. 27 inflation index may prove the biggest market mover. What do you need to know about this week’s PCE?Well, the PCE has long been considered the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation metric. As such, Friday’s data release will likely inform the Fed’s Feb 1. rate hike decision. Depending on the report, the Fed may opt to make some surprising changes to its anticipated tightening schedule.Indeed, the central bank is predicted to go ahead with a quarter-point federal funds rate increase at its upcoming meeting. Some analysts believe it may be the final rate hike for the foreseeable future in the face of easing prices and rampant recession projections. In that regard, the upcoming PCE will provide some much-needed insight into the Fed’s game plan for 2023.If you recall, in mid-December, the Fed released its updated economic projections for 2023. In the report, the central bank revealed that it now expects core PCE (excluding food and energy) to finish the year at 3.5%, above its target rate of 2%.What does Friday’s PCE report mean for the stock market?PCE Report Reignites Stock Market Crash ConcernsFriday’s PCE may ignite some notable shifts in the stock market. Especially early in the year, economic developments will likely set the narrative for the stock market going forward.Not for nothing, for most of 2022, economic indicators proved major catalysts for equity markets. So far, that has still been the case in the new year.The PCE will come as something of a reaffirmation of the December Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which was released earlier in January. In the report, prices were shown to have fallen 0.1% month-over-month, representing a 6.5% yearly increase, including a 5.7% jump in core inflation.The relatively promising CPI sparked an optimistic stock market response. Most major indices climbed a bit less than 1% on the CPI release, including the Nasdaq Composite, which enjoyed its first five-day climb since July off the back of the inflation data.Friday’s PCE will also serve to validate previous deflationary trends. Prices have been on a notable downward trend lately across most price indexes, despite some holdouts.Fed Vice ChairLael Brainardsaid the following earlier this month:“Core PCE inflation is running at a 3.1 percent annualized pace on a 3-month basis—below its 3.8 percent reading on a 6-month basis and 4.5 percent on a 12-month basis […] In that regard, housing services inflation remains stubbornly high at 8.8 percent on a 3-month basis—compared with 7.7 percent on a 12-month basis. Housing services are making an annualized contribution to core PCE that is more than double their contribution before the pandemic.”","kind":null,"is_publish_news":null,"is_publish_highlight":null,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":9952875056,"gmtCreate":1674654114376,"gmtModify":1676538951025,"author":{"id":"3564738902623228","authorId":"3564738902623228","name":"Khoo12","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1637796379aeed1538616117eb09330","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952875056","repostId":1184775623,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9952842451,"gmtCreate":1674645767273,"gmtModify":1676538950448,"author":{"id":"4112071922817752","authorId":"4112071922817752","name":"SNeo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d5b48d982c4246e1c1d0400e42ad5e32","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"[Bless]&nbsp;","listText":"[Bless]&nbsp;","text":"[Bless]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952842451","repostId":1184775623,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9952846407,"gmtCreate":1674645137909,"gmtModify":1676538950415,"author":{"id":"4106387998711340","authorId":"4106387998711340","name":"JQC","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952846407","repostId":1184775623,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9952846142,"gmtCreate":1674644709886,"gmtModify":1676538950399,"author":{"id":"4100325483048030","authorId":"4100325483048030","name":"Chris Tan","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/234d0c8219838a66f0165bcb29277534","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"US in deep&nbsp;trouble over debt. Continue to printmoney 🙏🏻","listText":"US in deep&nbsp;trouble over debt. Continue to printmoney 🙏🏻","text":"US in deep trouble over debt. Continue to printmoney 🙏🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952846142","repostId":1184775623,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9952841298,"gmtCreate":1674642867215,"gmtModify":1676538950318,"author":{"id":"4112410321254552","authorId":"4112410321254552","name":"blessed_1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/71622697830d9517eb67a61917d8a95f","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952841298","repostId":1184775623,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9952849919,"gmtCreate":1674640611831,"gmtModify":1676538950221,"author":{"id":"4116569270341752","authorId":"4116569270341752","name":"valentia","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/aa5d9699efc00e79a23259af692754b7","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"Drama queen la, stock market won't crash 🤣","listText":"Drama queen la, stock market won't crash 🤣","text":"Drama queen la, stock market won't crash 🤣","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952849919","repostId":1184775623,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":82,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.22.4","shortVersion":"4.22.4","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/1184775623"}