Earning Preview: Sealed Air this quarter’s revenue is expected to decrease by 1.07%, and institutional views are cautiously bullish

Earnings Agent02-23

Title

Earning Preview: Sealed Air this quarter’s revenue is expected to decrease by 1.07%, and institutional views are cautiously bullish

Abstract

Sealed Air Corporation will report quarterly results on March 2, 2026 Pre-Market, and investors are watching whether revenue holds near the recent run-rate and whether margins and adjusted EPS track estimates that imply year-over-year EPS growth despite a small revenue decline.

Market Forecast

Consensus-level projections indicate Sealed Air Corporation’s current-quarter revenue at approximately $1.34 billion, implying a year-over-year decline of 1.07%, with adjusted EPS around $0.73, implying year-over-year growth of 9.58%, and EBIT near $204.71 million, up 5.50% year over year. Forecasts do not explicitly include margin targets; absent formal guidance on gross or net margins for the quarter, focus centers on whether the company can preserve last quarter’s margin structure while executing on pricing and cost actions to meet EPS targets.

Food Care remains the largest line by sales, and expectations focus on steady demand and disciplined price/mix to support group profitability and cash flow into mid-year. Within the portfolio, Food Care is viewed as the most promising near-term driver by sheer scale, contributing $909.60 million last quarter, with company-level revenue forecast to decline 1.07% year over year this quarter; segment-level year-over-year growth rates were not disclosed in the last report.

Last Quarter Review

Sealed Air Corporation’s most recent quarter delivered revenue of $1.35 billion (up 0.46% year over year), a gross profit margin of 29.64%, GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders of $255.00 million, a net profit margin of 18.88%, and adjusted EPS of $0.87 (up 10.13% year over year). A key financial highlight was EBIT of $224.20 million, which grew 3.41% year over year and outpaced revenue growth as cost actions and mix management supported earnings quality.

Main business highlights showed Food Care revenue at $909.60 million, representing 67.31% of group revenue, and Product Care revenue at $441.70 million, representing 32.69% of the total; segment-level year-over-year growth rates were not disclosed, though the consolidated top-line grew modestly year over year.

Current Quarter Outlook (with major analytical insights)

Food Care: Scale, margin carryover, and execution on price/mix

Food Care drove $909.60 million of last quarter’s revenue and remains the operational center of gravity for both top-line and earnings resilience into March. The company enters this quarter with a gross margin baseline of 29.64% and a net margin baseline of 18.88%, and the ability to sustain those levels largely depends on mix, input-cost pass-through discipline, and throughput efficiencies in Food Care. Price/mix remains the practical lever to absorb input fluctuations, while commercial execution aims to minimize discounting and preserve value in core protective and preservation solutions. Inventory positioning and order cadence are additional considerations; maintaining normalized lead times supports fill rates without unduly raising working capital needs. With consensus anticipating revenue down 1.07% year over year for the group, the core task is to translate stable Food Care volumes and a balanced price architecture into meeting EPS estimates of $0.73 (up 9.58% year over year), implying cost discipline must pick up more of the slack than volume growth in the near term. Operating expense control and manufacturing productivity, if sustained near the recent trend embedded in the prior quarter’s EBIT performance, can support the consensus EBIT trajectory of $204.71 million (up 5.50% year over year), even if sales are slightly softer.

From a margin translation standpoint, Food Care’s contribution will be judged by the degree to which raw material and conversion costs remain contained relative to pricing. Procurement and logistics efficiencies that aided last quarter’s results need to be carried forward to keep gross-to-net conversion consistent with the 29.64% gross margin watermark. Should input costs or freight tick up, the priority becomes safeguarding mix and accelerating internal efficiencies to offset any drift. While the company did not publicize segment-level growth rates in the last report, the revenue base and mix within Food Care provide the best visibility into group EBIT delivery for this print.

Product Care and automation: Selective growth opportunities and operating leverage

Product Care accounted for $441.70 million last quarter—about a third of consolidated revenue—and presents selective upside for the quarter through cost actions and operating leverage rather than broad-based volume expansion. The prior quarter’s margin profile suggests that productivity improvements and footprint discipline helped earnings even as the top-line grew only modestly year over year. If that expense structure remains lean, Product Care can contribute incremental margin dollars with even modest sequential volume stabilization, particularly in solutions where automation or higher-value protective systems can elevate average selling prices and utilization of installed assets.

The consensus framework—a modest year-over-year revenue decline for the group alongside year-over-year EPS growth—implicitly assumes Product Care avoids notable margin slippage. That raises two practical factors this quarter: capacity utilization and mix quality within higher-value offerings. The path to hitting forecast EPS without top-line growth is to scale the business units with better gross-to-operating-income conversion. Product Care’s progress on this equation will be most transparent in the relationship between revenue run rate and EBIT progression relative to the prior quarter’s $224.20 million outcome, considering consensus looks for $204.71 million this quarter in the seasonally softer start to the year. If Product Care maintains discipline on discounting, prioritizes higher-margin SKUs, and keeps fixed costs aligned with demand, it can help bridge any shortfalls in consolidated revenue while protecting EPS.

Key stock-price drivers this quarter: Margin resilience, cost discipline, and cash generation

The stock’s near-term reaction will hinge on whether Sealed Air Corporation delivers the implied margin resilience embedded in consensus EPS and EBIT against a slightly lower revenue base. Investors will scrutinize gross margin retention around the 29.64% baseline and net margin behavior near 18.88%, because small deviations can compound into significant differences at the EPS line when volumes are flattish to down modestly year over year. Any update on pricing realization versus input cost inflation in the quarter will be pivotal, since consensus posits a 9.58% increase in EPS from last year’s comparable period even as revenue declines 1.07%, a setup that requires effective cost execution.

Operating expense run rates and productivity will also affect sentiment. Management’s demonstrated ability last quarter to lift EBIT by 3.41% year over year, despite modest revenue growth, points to operational levers that can remain supportive this quarter if maintained. With the new quarter forecast to generate $204.71 million of EBIT, investors will watch for signs of a stable cost base and sustained efficiency gains. Finally, cash discipline and working capital management matter for valuation into mid-year; although detailed cash metrics were not included in the forecast data, the degree to which inventories and receivables are aligned to the revenue run-rate signals how efficiently the company converts margin dollars into liquidity.

Analyst Opinions

In our compilation within the January 1, 2026 to February 23, 2026 window, the balance of published references with explicit institutional stances leans bullish, resulting in a 100% bullish share of our tallied sample. One well-known institution continues to anchor the constructive view: J.P. Morgan carries an Overweight stance with a $36 price objective, as reflected in a January 15, 2026 company profile that cites its latest rating action from September 2025. While that rating predates the to-be-reported quarter, it remains the most directly cited institutional view in the current period and frames expectations for the near-term print.

The bullish case centers on the company’s ability to translate price/mix discipline and cost execution into sustained margin performance even when revenue growth is subdued. The prior quarter’s results support that setup: revenue was $1.35 billion (up 0.46% year over year), gross margin reached 29.64%, net profit margin stood at 18.88%, and adjusted EPS climbed 10.13% to $0.87. With consensus calling for current-quarter EPS of roughly $0.73 (up 9.58% year over year), revenue of $1.34 billion (down 1.07% year over year), and EBIT of $204.71 million (up 5.50% year over year), the bullish interpretation is that cost and mix levers can again outpace top-line headwinds and sustain earnings. Supportive elements include the scale and earnings conversion of Food Care and the potential for Product Care to contribute incremental margin through higher-value offerings and tight cost control. The durability of gross-to-net translation is the core test; meeting or slightly beating EPS with revenue near the guided range would validate the operating framework that underpins the constructive stance.

Market Forecast

Sealed Air Corporation’s current-quarter forecast anchors around revenue of $1.34 billion (down 1.07% year over year), adjusted EPS near $0.73 (up 9.58% year over year), and EBIT of $204.71 million (up 5.50% year over year). Absent explicit targets for gross or net margins, investor attention will focus on whether the company can preserve last quarter’s margin levels while delivering the modeled EPS and EBIT progression.

Food Care remains the principal revenue engine and is expected to provide stability through price discipline and operational execution. The most promising contribution by scale comes from Food Care, which delivered $909.60 million last quarter; segment-level year-over-year growth was not disclosed, but company-level revenue for this quarter is forecast to decline 1.07% year over year.

Last Quarter Review

Sealed Air Corporation reported revenue of $1.35 billion (up 0.46% year over year), a gross margin of 29.64%, GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders of $255.00 million, a net profit margin of 18.88%, and adjusted EPS of $0.87 (up 10.13% year over year). EBIT reached $224.20 million, up 3.41% year over year, indicating that cost and mix management continued to support profitability even with only modest top-line growth.

Food Care contributed $909.60 million of revenue, or 67.31% of the total, with Product Care at $441.70 million, or 32.69%; segment-level year-over-year growth rates were not disclosed in the last report, though consolidated revenue growth was positive, providing a stable base heading into the current quarter.

Current Quarter Outlook (with major analytical insights)

Food Care: Scale, margin carryover, and execution on price/mix

The company’s Food Care unit enters the quarter as the predominant revenue and earnings contributor, and expectations rest on stable demand patterns and a continuation of disciplined pricing. Sustaining last quarter’s 29.64% gross margin and 18.88% net margin will depend on offsetting input variability through mix management and cost controls. With the group-level revenue forecast at $1.34 billion (down 1.07% year over year), Food Care’s task is to deliver consistent contribution margins so that consolidated EBIT can track the $204.71 million forecast. Inventory alignment and order flows are also key: the company’s recent ability to grow EBIT faster than revenue suggests productivity improvements that should be retained into this quarter. If commercial execution maintains price realization and operational teams continue to extract efficiencies, Food Care can underpin the 9.58% year-over-year EPS growth embedded in the $0.73 estimate despite softer revenue.

Product Care and automation: Selective growth opportunities and operating leverage

Product Care’s $441.70 million revenue base provides scope for earnings leverage via a leaner cost structure and mix enhancements. The prior quarter’s EBIT outcome of $224.20 million for the group, with only a 0.46% revenue increase, points to structural cost progress that can endure. For this quarter, the emphasis is on maintaining pricing discipline in protective solutions and prioritizing higher-value configurations that enhance average selling prices. Even with a seasonal start to the year, maintaining utilization, defending margins on core SKUs, and limiting overhead drift can produce incremental EBIT that supports the $204.71 million forecast. The strategic aperture within Product Care lies in capturing orders with better gross-to-operating-income conversion, which is essential when consolidated revenue is expected to be down year over year.

Key stock-price drivers this quarter: Margin resilience, cost discipline, and cash generation

The share price reaction will likely pivot on whether Sealed Air Corporation delivers the margin constancy implied by consensus EPS and EBIT against slightly lower revenue. With last quarter setting a 29.64% gross margin and 18.88% net margin benchmark, investors will measure any deviations carefully. The estimates—revenue of $1.34 billion, EPS of $0.73, and EBIT of $204.71 million—assume continued cost efficiency and mix optimization. If the company reports that price/mix remained constructive relative to input costs and that productivity initiatives held, the market should view the earnings trajectory as on track. Conversely, any evidence of mix deterioration or unexpected operating expense creep would raise questions about whether the 9.58% year-over-year EPS increase is repeatable in subsequent quarters.

Working capital execution also matters for how the market evaluates the quality of earnings. Although detailed free cash flow expectations were not provided, alignment of inventory and receivables with the revenue run-rate will be interpreted as an important sign of discipline. With a modest expected decline in revenue, an in-line or better cash conversion narrative would bolster confidence that Sealed Air Corporation is managing for profitable growth while safeguarding liquidity and financing flexibility.

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