According to Woofun AI, digital asset analyst Killa(XBT) has put forward an aggressive bullish outlook based on historical cycle patterns, arguing that BTC is currently in the early stages of a new bull market and providing a clear timeline and price target path.
In a detailed projection disclosed on the X platform, Killa(XBT) anchored market capitalization using the current price of approximately $80,800 as a baseline and constructed a tiered upward model: BTC is expected to break through the $100,000 mark after 160 days, representing a gain of about 24%; climb further to $126,000 after 280 days, for a cumulative gain of 56%; and before the 500-day cycle concludes, the peak could reach $160,000, representing an overall potential gain of nearly 98%.
The core logic behind this prediction lies in pattern replication. Killa(XBT) points out that current market movements closely mirror the structure seen in past bull market early phases—a sequence of sharp decline, sideways consolidation, low-point confirmation, and trend reversal. By comparing the K-line characteristics of "BTC NOW" versus "BTC BEFORE," he validates that the market is currently at a critical juncture within a rebound zone.
Deeper support comes from the structural narrowing of pullback magnitudes. Data compiled by Woofun AI shows that during the previous bear market, BTC's maximum drawdown was approximately 78%, while the current bear market's maximum decline was only about 54% (from $126,200 down to $57,800). This significant narrowing of the decline suggests stronger support at the market bottom.
Based on this, Killa(XBT) infers that pullback pressure in the early stages of this bull market will be substantially reduced, with the expected correction range compressing from the historical 20%–22% to between 10% and 15%. He emphasizes that recent price fluctuations are not a signal of a bear market restart, but rather a technical correction within an uptrend, aimed at shaking out weak hands before launching a new major upward wave.
It is worth noting that the aforementioned price targets and time nodes are all built on a purely technical analysis framework, relying on the assumption that historical data will repeat itself. While pattern similarities provide a basis for optimism, changes in the macroeconomic environment and subtle differences in on-chain capital flows could alter the projected trajectory. Investors should be aware that such predictions lack the capacity to account for sudden black swan events, and should treat them as probability-based scenario projections rather than certainty commitments, while still incorporating real-time market liquidity into dynamic assessments when positioning.
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