Today is Friday, October 23rd, and there are only 6 days left until the 24:00 on October 29th window for the 21st round of refined oil price adjustment in 2026.
This cycle showed an upward trend right from the start. As international crude oil prices have continued to strengthen, the estimated increase has been rising continuously over multiple statistical days, expanding from an initial expected rise of nearly 0.1 yuan per liter to the current level of around 0.2 yuan per liter. The probability of an oil price hike in this round continues to climb, and it is highly likely that this will be the 14th oil price increase this year, with 92-octane and 95-octane gasoline expected to hit new price highs.
On the 6th statistical day of the cycle, the cycle has already passed its halfway point. It is estimated that gasoline and diesel prices will be raised by 245 yuan per ton and 235 yuan per ton respectively, which translates to retail prices as follows: 92-octane gasoline up 0.2 yuan per liter, 95-octane gasoline up 0.21 yuan per liter, and 0-diesel up 0.2 yuan per liter.
It should be noted that these are only cycle forecast data. If international oil prices continue to surge further, the estimated increase still has room for further expansion.
Friendly reminder: Car owners who need to refuel can plan their refueling time reasonably. The above is only an institutional forecast, and the final adjustment result shall be subject to the official notice from the National Development and Reform Commission.
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