Central China Securities released a research report indicating that the CITIC Machinery sector demonstrated steady growth in Q3 2025. Revenue increased by 5.98% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 12.91%, reflecting sustained profitability improvements. Traditional cyclical sub-sectors continued their recovery, while growth-oriented sub-sectors showed divergence, with some bottoming out and approaching an earnings inflection point. The report recommends balancing investments between cyclical and growth sub-sectors based on industry momentum.
Key highlights from Central China Securities' analysis include: - The CITIC Machinery sector achieved total revenue of RMB 1,888.843 billion in Q3 2025, up 5.98% YoY. - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached RMB 128.442 billion, growing 12.91% YoY, with adjusted net profit at RMB 109.875 billion, up 14.12% YoY. - Gross margin and net margin stood at 22.21% and 7.37%, respectively, up 0.36 and 1.83 percentage points compared to full-year 2024. - Weighted ROE improved to 6.52%, surpassing the 2024 annual level.
Sub-sector performance in Q3 2025: - Lithium battery equipment, shipbuilding, lifting & transport equipment, and service robotics saw adjusted net profit growth exceeding 50%. - Oil & gas equipment, laser processing equipment, nuclear power equipment, railway equipment, construction machinery, and basic components posted growth above 20%. - 3C equipment, boiler equipment, textile machinery, photovoltaic equipment, and industrial robotics lagged in growth.
Investment recommendations: 1. Focus on cyclical recovery sectors such as construction machinery, shipbuilding, oil & gas equipment, and lithium battery equipment, where earnings are improving. 2. Prioritize high-growth tech sub-sectors aligned with national strategies, including robotics, AI-supporting equipment, and core components.
Risk factors: - Slower-than-expected manufacturing investment growth. - Weak export demand. - Subdued downstream industry demand. - Rising raw material costs. - Major shifts in policies for new energy and semiconductors.
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