On June 9th, the gold market experienced a dip and subsequent recovery, briefly breaking below the 4300 mark before rallying to close higher. The daily chart formed a bullish doji star, indicating a short-term corrective phase in the market. The key focus remains on the 4300 level, which serves as a crucial support and the dividing line between bullish and bearish forces. A sustained break below this point would likely lead to a further decline towards the 4250-4200 area, with strong support anticipated around 4100, which is also a potential entry point for medium to long-term positioning. If the level holds, the daily chart is expected to continue its corrective pattern, with resistance initially seen at the 5-day moving average around 4380-85, followed by the 4400 mark and the 10-day moving average near 4440. A sustained move above this moving average band would be necessary to consider a potential trend reversal later.
Looking at the hourly chart, yesterday's break below 4300 created a 'golden pit,' with the price action forming a double bottom before rebounding and stabilizing above the key level. This shows signs of short-term consolidation. The 4315-4300 zone is now critical for determining continuation. If this support holds, it suggests the market will continue its corrective recovery, with initial upside targets at the 4346-53 region, followed by the pivot level near 4366, and then the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level around 4395. Overall, the broader downtrend remains unchanged, but the short-term chart shows signs of stabilization. As long as 4300 holds, the market is expected to trade in a range today.
For trading strategies, it is suggested to consider short positions around 4385 and 4395, with a stop-loss placed above 4400, targeting the 4450-30 area. Aggressive traders may consider long positions using 4300 as a defensive stop, targeting the 4360-80 zone. Specific execution should be based on real-time market conditions.
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