South Korea's consumer inflation in June accelerated to its fastest pace since December 2023, aligning with economists' forecasts and further solidifying market expectations that the central bank will maintain a vigilant stance against potential price pressures.
Data released by Statistics Korea on Thursday showed the Consumer Price Index rose 3.2% year-on-year in June, up from a 3.1% increase in May. The median estimate from a media survey was also 3.2%.
Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, held steady at 2.5%, indicating that underlying price pressures remain persistent.
The inflation figures further reinforce the increasingly hawkish policy tilt of the Bank of Korea ahead of its monetary policy meeting scheduled for July 16.
Policymakers have indicated that multiple factors—including stubbornly high inflation, resilient economic growth, a weaker won, and surging housing prices—are increasingly leaning towards a tightening of monetary policy.
Bank of Korea Governor Shin Hyun-sung has repeatedly warned that the semiconductor export boom is gradually spreading to overall consumption, wages, and investment, raising the risk of inflation becoming entrenched.
The minutes from the central bank's latest policy meeting revealed that two board members had previously voted for an immediate interest rate hike. The core discussion among council members has now shifted from "whether to raise rates" to "when to raise rates."
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