Citigroup Adjusts JIANGXI COPPER Profit Forecasts, Trims Target Price to HK$49.5, Keeps Buy Rating

Stock News10:08

Citigroup has revised its earnings projections for JIANGXI COPPER (00358), lowering profit estimates for the current and next fiscal years by 8% and 3%, respectively, to $12.8 billion and $12.7 billion, reflecting the company's guidance. Despite this adjustment, the bank reduced the target price for the Hong Kong-listed shares from HK$54.1 to HK$49.5, and for the A-shares (600362.SH) from RMB64.8 to RMB58.1, citing an increased assumed income tax rate. The stock's valuation remains attractive, supporting a maintained "Buy" rating. Citigroup's base case forecasts for this year's copper and gold prices are $12,375 per ton and $4,775 per ounce, respectively. A 10% increase in copper or gold prices above these benchmarks is expected to boost JIANGXI COPPER's net profit by 8% and 3% this year. Additionally, the bank's base sulfuric acid price forecast is RMB1,255 per ton; a 10% rise could increase net profit by 5%. Benefiting from strong sulfuric acid prices and favorable long-term copper treatment and refining charges (TC/RC) contracts, the company's smelting operations are anticipated to remain profitable. Continued conflict in the Middle East could further support robust sulfuric acid prices.

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