Sina Finance's "Liquor Price Insider" has officially launched, providing real-time market prices for premium baijiu brands.
Recently, Feitian Moutai has fallen below its official guide price of 1,499 yuan, signaling a price collapse in the high-end liquor market. Meanwhile, the once-marginalized bulk baijiu market is gaining traction, with brands setting up community-based "tap-and-pour" shops—a model that allows customers to buy by weight and drink on-site—emerging as a bright spot in the industry's adjustment phase.
Industry analysts suggest this stark contrast between high-end and mass-market trends reflects a fundamental shift in consumer behavior, moving from "brand premium worship" to "value-for-money dominance." This transition, along with the shift in market power from producers to consumers, is reshaping the industry's value framework—with implications far beyond mere price fluctuations.
**High-End Liquor's "Price Defense" Falters** Feitian Moutai, once considered a "hard currency," has succumbed to price declines. On December 12, data showed the wholesale price of 53° 500ml Feitian Moutai had dropped to 1,485 yuan per bottle, hitting a historic low and dipping below the official guide price for the first time. Some e-commerce platforms even slashed prices to 1,299 yuan during promotions.
Similarly, Wuliangye's eighth-generation product is set for its first price cut in a decade, with its invoice price reduced to 900 yuan per bottle—a move aimed at easing dealer burdens amid industry downturns.
Industry data reveals that 60% of liquor companies face price inversions, particularly in the 800–1,500 yuan segment. High inventory levels (average turnover days: 900) and weak demand have forced dealers into a "sell-at-a-loss" cycle.
The root cause lies in structural supply-demand imbalances and shifting consumption patterns. Government and business banquets—once key drivers of premium sales—have dwindled, while personal and event-based consumption now dominate, making buyers more price-sensitive.
**Bulk Baijiu's Rise** As premium brands struggle, bulk baijiu is staging a comeback. Leading brands like Gujing Gongjiu have opened tap-and-pour shops, joining regional players such as Yingjia Gongjiu and Kouzijiao. Emerging chains like "Tang Sanliang" and "Panda Tap" are also gaining ground, fueling a quality revolution in the bulk market.
Modern bulk shops—far from the crude stalls of old—now operate in upscale neighborhoods with sleek designs, offering 100+ SKUs (baijiu, craft beer, fruit wines) via hygienic dispensers. Some even feature tasting counters, appealing to young consumers who prefer "buy-by-weight, drink-in-moderation" socializing.
**Key Buyers & Challenges** Young adults (25–35) and budget-conscious rural buyers drive demand, valuing transparency and affordability. Mid-range bulk baijiu (50–200 yuan/jin) is growing at 25%, with 300-yuan products seeing 40% repeat rates.
Yet risks persist: food safety violations (e.g., excessive sweeteners) and homogenization threaten growth. Experts urge standardization, compliance, and innovation to avoid a "flash-in-the-pan" fate.
**The Big Picture** This "fire and ice" divide marks a pivotal transition—where premium baijiu sheds financial hype, and bulk sheds its low-end stigma. As China's liquor industry evolves toward consumer-centric models, adaptability will separate the winners from the obsolete.
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