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Market U.S. stocks closed mixed on January 30th, with Microsoft plunging 10% and dragging the Nasdaq lower. Top 20 U.S. stocks by trading volume on January 30th: Microsoft's market capitalization evaporated nearly $360 billion. Popular Chinese concept stocks were mixed on January 30th; Nio rose 3.92%, while UMC fell 7.16%. International oil prices surged over 3% due to Trump considering action against Iran. Spot gold recovered from a drop of over $300 to turn positive. European stocks erased gains as Microsoft's results sparked concerns about AI investments.
Macro The U.S. Senate failed to pass a funding bill, leaving the government facing another partial shutdown. Trump stated he would reopen all commercial airspace over Venezuela. Trump plans to announce his nominee for Federal Reserve Chair next week. Who will be the new Fed Chair? Trump says the answer will be revealed next week. Chair of the U.S. CFTC: New rules for prediction markets will be formulated. The EU designates Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a "terrorist organization." Zelenskyy: The ceasefire agreement on energy facilities will begin on the night of the 29th. Relatives of the head of Israel's Security Agency are suspected of smuggling goods into Gaza.
Company Apple's Q4 revenue and profit both hit record highs; shares rose over 3% in after-hours trading. Microsoft's market cap evaporated $357 billion, with the stock seeing its biggest drop since 2020. Amazon may invest up to $500 billion in OpenAI in the coming weeks. Apple acquires Israeli AI startup Q.ai. Is the dollar's depreciation a sign of "de-dollarization"? A giant managing $900 billion sees this as a signal to increase hedging. SpaceX is in talks with xAI about a merger ahead of a potential IPO. SpaceX and xAI are negotiating a merger before an IPO. Tesla will sell $430 million worth of super-large energy storage batteries to xAI in 2025. Waymo officially launches passenger pickup service at San Francisco airport. Airbus will begin selling a larger version of the A220 jet. IBM believes it can help clients navigate the complex landscape of AI options. Blackstone is preparing one of the largest IPO pipelines in history. Blackstone Group recorded profit growth, with deal activity reaching "escape velocity."
Commentary A "flash crash" for gold? An overheated market triggers a sharp correction. Gold retreated from above $5,500 as profit-taking curbed upward momentum. What strategy for the midterm elections? Trump's unfettered speeches worry his advisors. U.S. government shutdown risk looms as Trump and Democrats near a deal. Macro Observer: When a gold rally becomes too sweet, it's hard to exit gracefully. The Kremlin states territorial issues remain key to Russia-Ukraine negotiations. Nations worldwide discover new paths to hedge against U.S. trade risks. Dutch pension fund PME says the U.S. is "no longer reliable," plans to shift focus to Europe. Winter demand increases and fuel mix changes lead to growing blackout risks in the U.S. The U.S. 7-year Treasury note auction had a high yield of 4.018%. View Summary: U.S. Treasuries have devolved into just another risk asset. Iran tensions push Brent crude to close at its highest level since July. European bond markets: Safe-haven demand drives U.K. gilt prices higher.
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