Movement Alert|Molina Healthcare Falls 5.45% in Regular Trading, Medicaid Business Contraction and Industry Headwinds Weigh on Shares

Market Focus07-28

On July 28, Molina Healthcare fell 5.45% in regular trading, trading at $187.2/share, with turnover of $46.40 million. The decline reflects continued selling pressure following the company's Q2 earnings report and a broader managed-care sector selloff.

Molina reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.51, down 72.45% year-over-year, on revenue of $10.87 billion, a 4.9% decline from the prior year. Management disclosed that its Medicaid business footprint will shrink dramatically from approximately 13-14 states to about 6 states, with plans to further reduce market segment risk exposure in 2027. The full-year guidance incorporates a $1.50/share headwind from Florida's new Medicaid contract implementation and a $1.00/share drag from legacy MAPD product underperformance. RBC Capital Markets on July 25 cut its price target to $218 from $248, citing Marketplace insurance headwinds and long-term Medicaid rate recovery uncertainty. Industry peers declined sharply in tandem, with Centene falling 9.06%, Humana down 2.51%, and Elevance Health losing 2.01%.

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