June Consumer PriceIndex:+1.3%vs.+1.1% consensus and +1.0% prior.
The energy index rose 7.5% M/M, contributing almost half of the all-items increase; the gasoline index jumped 11.2%. The food index increased 1.0% in June.
Y/Y, CPI+9.1%vs. 8.8% consensus and +8.6% prior.
The numbers reflect broad-based increase in inflation, with gasoline, shelter, and food being the largest contributors.
The Y/Y jump reflects the biggest gain since November 1981, commented Bankrate Senior Economic analyst Mark Hamrick. "The offenders again were all too familiar to consumers, those being gasoline, food, and shelter."
Charles Schwab economist Liz Ann Sonderspoints out that owners' equivalent rent continued to climb with a 5.5% annual increase, its strongest since September 1990.
Core CPI:+0.7%vs. +0.5% consensus and +0.6% prior.
Y/Y, core CPI:+5.9%vs. +5.8% consensus and +6.0% prior.
The stronger-than-expected numbers keep the pressure on the Federal Reserve to get inflation under control. Some traders are now expecting a 100 basis point rate increase at the central bank's July meeting. The CME Fed Watch tool puts a 33.2% probability on the one full percentage point hike and a 66.8% probability on a 75-bp increase.
"With the hot month-over-month and year-over-year numbers coming in as they have, this tells the Federal Reserve it has more work to do with higher interest rates to eventually achieve its mandate of stable prices, or lower inflation, in this case. Look for another rate increase of as much as 75 basis points at the FOMC meeting at the end of this month," said Bankrate's Hamrick.
In the core CPI's month-over-month increase, the biggest contributors were shelter, used cars and trucks, medical care, motor vehicle insurance, and new vehicles.
Only a few major component indexes declined in June, including lodging away from home and airline fares.
The hotter-than-expected inflation print harpooned equity futures, pushing Nasdaq futures down 2.1%, S&P futures-1.4%and Dow futures-1.0%. The 10-year Treasury yield jumped 6 basis points to 3.04%.
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