一图看懂 | 美联储官员对5月加息50基点最新表态

同花顺2022-03-25

当前表态的5位官员全部对5月加息50个基点持开放态度。当前美国通胀仍处于近40年来高位，加上俄乌战争推高原油等大宗商品价格，使得美联储对抗通胀的任务愈发艰巨。而就是在这种背景下，鲍威尔周一在为华盛顿哥伦比亚特区一场经济研讨会准备的演讲稿中表示，美联储将采取必要措施，确保恢复价格稳定。如果认为有必要，则该联储准备加息50个基点，这离3月美联储加息仅过去一周的时间。在周一鲍威尔的讲话中，一个小细节尤为...

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Comments

被幸福敲了门的人
2022-03-26
被幸福敲了门的人
繼續加息……
北纬1度线
2022-03-26
北纬1度线
定了
嘞撸虎7
2022-03-26
嘞撸虎7
閱
Futre
2022-03-26
Futre
贊👍
Hai777
2022-03-26
Hai777
[強]
神话者
2022-03-26
神话者
[微笑]

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Watchtool工具最新数据显示，市场预期美联储5月加息50基点的概率已经达到70.5%，这与美联储官员表态基本一致。而尤为值得注意的是，部分官员认为在下一次会议上美联储有必要开始缩减资产负债表。鲍威尔也重申了削减资产负债表的行动“可能最早在下一次5月份会议上开始，但现在我们还没有做出决定。”这预示着在最为极端的情况下，美联储下次会议可能同时刮起加息50个基点外加宣布缩减资产负债表的“双重鹰派风暴”。而随着美联储如今将越来越多的重心投向了抵御高通胀之下，甚至不惜以牺牲经济增速为代价地开始选择更为激进的紧缩路线，美债收益率曲线如今也愈发指向了经济衰退的可能性。自今年年初以来，10年期和两年期美债之间的收益率差已经缩小了约60个基点。若两者出现倒挂，通常被视为经济进入六至24个月衰退的前兆。就鲍威尔而言，其仍然乐观认为经济可以软着陆，达到较为可持续的成长水平――即通胀率从目前的7.9%降到略高于2%的目标水平，同时经济也不会出现萎缩。鲍威尔说，设计这种软着陆仍视有可能的，他指出过去60年来美联储曾三次实现了软着陆。不过，一些分析师当前表示，如果利率按照美联储预测的路径变化，经济最终料将倾向于陷入衰退――而不是美联储主席鲍威尔希望的“软着陆”。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":637711098,"gmtCreate":1648268278748,"gmtModify":1676532898158,"author":{"id":"3565560849516206","authorId":"3565560849516206","name":"被幸福敲了门的人","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/364d8f8a1793db9e530ae96c23e25482","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3565560849516206","authorIdStr":"3565560849516206"},"htmlText":"繼續加息……","listText":"繼續加息……","text":"繼續加息……","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/637711098","repostId":1194213757,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":9010329437,"gmtCreate":1648261125639,"gmtModify":1676534323316,"author":{"id":"3577005617035851","authorId":"3577005617035851","name":"北纬1度线","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4e2bd60feda0f7eb2d2f34c6b4dc130","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1eed764d9c7ff83dc093fbb9a96bc2","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3577005617035851","authorIdStr":"3577005617035851"},"htmlText":"定了","listText":"定了","text":"定了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010329437","repostId":1194213757,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":9010974870,"gmtCreate":1648253221243,"gmtModify":1676534321410,"author":{"id":"4092032122452460","authorId":"4092032122452460","name":"嘞撸虎7","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/451ff62190f624c13c07b54476dd5930","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c5ceab71416b120bab4604c0754b52a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4092032122452460","authorIdStr":"4092032122452460"},"htmlText":"閱","listText":"閱","text":"閱","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010974870","repostId":1194213757,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":9010970048,"gmtCreate":1648252414589,"gmtModify":1676534321229,"author":{"id":"3564108727353086","authorId":"3564108727353086","name":"Futre","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/912eae14e80f11fedbc3bdb7e10bb6d0","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3564108727353086","authorIdStr":"3564108727353086"},"htmlText":"贊👍","listText":"贊👍","text":"贊👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010970048","repostId":1194213757,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":9010946476,"gmtCreate":1648251830930,"gmtModify":1676534321111,"author":{"id":"4093132166786330","authorId":"4093132166786330","name":"Hai777","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/856f4093fe09d1b96c7446813840bed1","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4093132166786330","authorIdStr":"4093132166786330"},"htmlText":"[強]&nbsp;","listText":"[強]&nbsp;","text":"[強]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010946476","repostId":1194213757,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":9010920294,"gmtCreate":1648247929669,"gmtModify":1676534320428,"author":{"id":"4090235052856760","authorId":"4090235052856760","name":"神话者","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b20ae15ae6c2600ed63bffb924fc3d1","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/622fc56f7e67b5729addb4e78a195511","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4090235052856760","authorIdStr":"4090235052856760"},"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010920294","repostId":1194213757,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}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