Why is Biden in big trouble now? There are three thorny problems that Biden has to face currently. As far as I am concerned, these issues are unsolvable.
The Crises Hidden Behind Kabul Airport
The United States quickly evacuated from Afghanistan on August 15. Both sides are suffering but must cut the Gordian knot quickly. It is seemingly that the United States could retain control of the situation if its troops continue to stay in Afghanistan, which, however, is meaningless even harmful for both sides. The decision to withdraw troops was emotionally difficult, but it did relieve many Americans, especially veterans. I once thought that over time, the public opinion supporting Biden's administration would rise instead of falling, but Kabul Airport began to stage scenes of humanitarian crises, which gradually transformed into Biden's first crisis.
I can say with certainty that if the Taliban quickly started to retaliate and kill people in Afghanistan after the United States withdrew from Afghanistan on August 15, then Biden's next election will surely fail. From a certain perspective, Biden should be grateful to the Taliban. Although the United States has withdrawn its troops, the Taliban did not kill as many people predicted.
There are now countless Afghans at Kabul Airport, demanding that the US military take them out of the country in turmoil. This scenario is no different from the scene in which many Central American immigrants on the US border strongly demanded to enter the United States when Trump and Biden took office. For Afghans, Kabul Airport and US military planes are the last hurdles to enter the United States, which acts as the US border. The pictures below show the Kabul Airport and the US border, respectively.
When Biden assumed office, people in many Central American countries felt that the new president was different from the former one, Trump. Biden would welcome immigrants, so many families decided to move to the United States. But the general public opinion in the United States, including many Democrats, is opposed to immigration. To prevent these Central American people from immigrating, Biden made two decisions: (1) Insisting on the policy issued by Trump; (2) The spread of coronavirus. On this basis, Biden allowed a small number of women and children to immigrate. Even so, it has been considered by American polls to be Biden's most failed policy.
Unlike those immigrants, the reason for refugees from Afghanistan who requested to enter the United States was directly caused by Biden's decision of withdrawal.
Biden emphasized that Americans and Afghans who "helped the US military" would be withdrawn. However, not all Afghans around the airport are those who helped the United States. Many ordinary people also want to leave Afghanistan and go to the United States. How does the US distinguish between them? (The issue should have been addressed long ago). From various videos, we can see that many Afghans hold documents in their hands, but how does the country distinguish which documents meet the requirements for entering the United States? Will the image of the United States be able to turn around gorgeously by evacuating all the Afghans who have helped the US military? Some international organizations estimate that about 300,000 Afghans helped the US military in the past.
The longer the delay, the more serious the crisis. Will, the US military shoot back if this group of refugees suddenly rushes into the airport and US military planes? Biden must not serve another term of office if the answer is in the affirmative. Even if this situation does not happen, the likelihood of Biden's re-election will also be significantly reduced if the United States accepts too many Afghan refugees. Under such circumstances, Trump is very likely to regain the presidential seat.
The first crisis is not completely unsolvable. Biden's only solution now is to delay making a decision. On the one hand, it helps to prevent too many Afghans from entering the United States. On the other hand, the solution allows the domestic media to gradually divert attention. As long as there is nothing bad happens, the crisis can be minimized. But Biden's other two crises cannot be solved by avoiding decisions.
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