谁重创了美股?后面怎么看?

静观金融2022-01-24

摘要由四因子模型看美股回调逻辑。1)何谓美股四因子模型?美股定价包括四个因素:美国经济、非美经济、无风险利率、风险溢价。我们分别用美国制造业PMI、全球制造业PMI、2年期美债收益率与欧美经济政策不确定性指数(EPU)刻画上述四个方面。2)四因子模型显示过去半年美股始终处于超买状态。该模型可前瞻美股是否存在超涨或超调,但凡标普500指数实际值相对模型值偏离度超过5个百分点就表明美股波动将放大。该...

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Comments

  • Jiantew
    2022-01-25
    Jiantew
    風水輪流轉。有回頭的機會[開心] [開心] [開心] 
  • Futre
    2022-01-25
    Futre
    贊👍
  • Li Guixi
    2022-01-25
    Li Guixi
    贊👍
  • Yoongc
    2022-01-24
    Yoongc
    ok
  • Sunc
    2022-01-24
    Sunc
    ok
  • jianmo
    2022-01-24
    jianmo
    你這完全不考慮基本面的 企業盈利和疫情結束 經濟復甦
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