Bank stocks rally is not over: analyst

Yahoo Finance2021-04-14

Optimism over the post-pandemic economy is building as the vaccine rollout continues, a theme that will likely carry through the large banks’ earnings reports due this week. Bank stocks were among the...

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Samantha88
2021-04-14
Samantha88
Like me and comment pls thank u
Samantha88
2021-04-14
Samantha88
Keep it up
- Samantha88:
  Diu
- CloudLoo:
  Diu
Edison1220
2021-04-14
Edison1220
huat ah
DesmondChin
2021-04-14
DesmondChin
I thought just started? [驚訝]
- PangKW:
  following

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But an improving economic outlook has had investors piling into financials since late last year, raising the question: can the bank stocks extend the rally?\n“There’s more to go with the catch-up trade for bank stocks,” said Mike Mayo, senior equity analyst at Wells Fargo.\nOne positive development for banks is higher longer-term interest rates.\nWith job gains surging in March and consumer confidence rising to the highest levels seen during the pandemic, longer-term bond yields have tilted higher. The U.S. 10-year Treasury has gained as much as 65 basis points since mid-January.\nThose rising bond yields suggest that banks are able to lend at higher rates, which in theory should be positive for earnings.\nBanks could also offer guidance this week on another potential driver: loan growth.\nDeutsche Bank Research analyst Matt O’Connor expects loan paydowns from stimulus checks to keep loan growth slow for now, but says a more developed vaccine rollout later this year could tee up strong spending this holiday season and beyond.\n“There could be another 30%-50% upside in bank stocks over the next 2-3 years,” O’Connor wrote in a client note, framing an argument for bank stocks being cheap at the moment.\nLoan loss reserves\nAnalysts will also be closely watching the large banks for how they are managing the billions of dollars in buffers set aside last year to absorb possible loan losses.\nIn recent quarters, banks have begun releasing the so-called allowance for loan losses. In January, the big four (JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo) released $5.7 billion in reserves set aside last year to absorb loan losses.\nBut the firms still had $91 billion in total reserves as of the last reported quarter, more than double pre-pandemic levels. Management said in January that they were conservative on their provisioning because of the uncertainty over whether or not the banking industry had weathered the full storm of loan delinquencies.\nA combination file photo shows Wells Fargo, Citigbank, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, JPMorgan, and Goldman Sachs from Reuters archive. REUTERS/File PhotosREUTERS FILE PHOTO / Reuters\nMayo said that the vaccine rollout, a fresh round of $1.9 trillion in federal stimulus, and the improving outlook should allow banks to pull-forward more reserve releases to this quarter.\n“These reserves for problem loans are really based on your forecasts and how you feel, so credit quality should be much better,” Mayo told Yahoo Finance Tuesday.\nNot all analysts expect the same.\nRBC Capital Markets analyst Gerard Cassidy said he actually expects banks to increase loan loss provisions on a quarter-over-quarter basis, although he acknowledges that his forecasts “may prove to be too conservative.”\nJPMorgan Chase (JPM), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Wells Fargo (WFC) will kick off earnings season on Wednesday morning. Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C) will report on Thursday with Morgan Stanley (MS) due on Friday.","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":344100238,"gmtCreate":1618382709324,"gmtModify":1704709954786,"author":{"id":"3572868860672408","authorId":"3572868860672408","name":"Samantha88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17723d2075b69224c864dd5864a34ecb","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3572868860672408","authorIdStr":"3572868860672408"},"htmlText":"Like me and comment&nbsp;pls thank u&nbsp;","listText":"Like me and comment&nbsp;pls thank u&nbsp;","text":"Like me and comment pls thank u","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/344100238","repostId":2127322043,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":344374446,"gmtCreate":1618382453985,"gmtModify":1704709951546,"author":{"id":"3572868860672408","authorId":"3572868860672408","name":"Samantha88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17723d2075b69224c864dd5864a34ecb","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3572868860672408","authorIdStr":"3572868860672408"},"htmlText":"Keep it up&nbsp;","listText":"Keep it up&nbsp;","text":"Keep it up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/344374446","repostId":2127322043,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4033625,"gmtCreate":1618399640797,"gmtModify":1680784029048,"authorId":3572868860672408,"author":{"id":3572868860672408,"idStr":"3572868860672408","authorId":3572868860672408,"name":"Samantha88","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17723d2075b69224c864dd5864a34ecb","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":344374446,"type":1,"supId":4032012,"prevId":0,"content":"Diu","text":"Diu","html":"Diu"},{"id":4032012,"gmtCreate":1618382787176,"gmtModify":1680784007400,"authorId":3564392929863426,"author":{"id":3564392929863426,"idStr":"3564392929863426","authorId":3564392929863426,"name":"CloudLoo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/bc15f9c1f1323fbf492a8ec703aef854","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":344374446,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Diu","text":"Diu","html":"Diu"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":344327873,"gmtCreate":1618379009692,"gmtModify":1704709911991,"author":{"id":"3551688341035316","authorId":"3551688341035316","name":"Edison1220","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b1361306a2380ad207a552514c38cda","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3551688341035316","authorIdStr":"3551688341035316"},"htmlText":"huat ah","listText":"huat ah","text":"huat ah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/344327873","repostId":2127322043,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":344322665,"gmtCreate":1618378720057,"gmtModify":1704709907932,"author":{"id":"3578983795474363","authorId":"3578983795474363","name":"DesmondChin","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b90cb6b6a6c328ac8d02a829e5e7c835","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46b6808e1ba3716fb9c53339adffa3c5","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3578983795474363","authorIdStr":"3578983795474363"},"htmlText":"I thought just started?&nbsp;[驚訝]&nbsp;","listText":"I thought just started?&nbsp;[驚訝]&nbsp;","text":"I thought just started? [驚訝]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/344322665","repostId":2127322043,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":4037453,"gmtCreate":1618438741620,"gmtModify":1680784081125,"authorId":3564794012758666,"author":{"id":3564794012758666,"idStr":"3564794012758666","authorId":3564794012758666,"name":"PangKW","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/273dad2dcbc7e7769c34ee7a0070ad27","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":344322665,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"following","text":"following","html":"following"}],"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.29.3","shortVersion":"4.29.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2127322043"}