没有方向盘的特斯拉，你敢坐吗？

虎嗅2021-09-05

没有方向盘和油门刹车的车，是我能想到的最贴近汽车终极形态的车。过去，这种技术过于超前的车只出现在科幻电影里。现在，特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克已经开始琢磨把这车从荧幕搬到现实世界了。据Electrek报道，在9月3日的特斯拉公司内部大会上，马斯克宣布将在2023年发布售价为2.5万美元的车型。在大会上，马斯克反问员工“我们希望这辆车配备方向盘和踏板吗？” 一辆驾驶功能和科幻电影差不多的电动车，只卖...

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Comments

猛逃
2021-09-06
猛逃
就憑老馬的本事，早晚的事[財迷]
轻舞飞扬AC
2021-09-06
轻舞飞扬AC
還需時間驗證其安全性，不能輕易放開！
龙腾虎跃168
2021-09-06
龙腾虎跃168
敢[微笑]
Alicia Ling
2021-09-06
Alicia Ling
斷臂俠也能駕?
- Alicia Ling:
  ?
- Miaw:
  关着眼睛，啥都不看
- jianguang:
  不敢
- 淡然笑:
  不敢 [喷血] [喷血]
Youn7276
2021-09-06
Youn7276
閱！
长河_967
2021-09-05
长河_967
別隻是吹，馬斯克能先給自己來一輛不？
- Youn7276:
  好！

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href=https://www.huxiu.com/article/453727.html><strong>虎嗅</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>没有方向盘和油门刹车的车，是我能想到的最贴近汽车终极形态的车。\n过去，这种技术过于超前的车只出现在科幻电影里。现在，特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克已经开始琢磨把这车从荧幕搬到现实世界了。\n据Electrek报道，在9月3日的特斯拉公司内部大会上，马斯克宣布将在2023年发布售价为2.5万美元的车型。在大会上，马斯克反问员工“我们希望这辆车配备方向盘和踏板吗？”\n一辆驾驶功能和科幻电影差不多的电动车，只卖...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.huxiu.com/article/453727.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"TSLA","symbol_name":"特斯拉","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.huxiu.com/article/453727.html","article_id":"2164806064","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb445d8e35337a414f00c24d78bcf9a4"],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2164806064","pubTimestamp":1630805061,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"highlight_huxiu","name":"虎嗅网"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"没有方向盘和油门刹车的车，是我能想到的最贴近汽车终极形态的车。据Electrek报道，在9月3日的特斯拉公司内部大会上，马斯克宣布将在2023年发布售价为2.5万美元的车型。在大会上，马斯克反问员工“我们希望这辆车配备方向盘和踏板吗？”但理性来看，从目前包括特斯拉在内的各大自动驾驶研发公司的技术进展出发，在2023年实现完全自动驾驶的可能性极低。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"huxiu.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"translate_title":"Tesla Motors without steering wheel, do you dare to sit?","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5eb13ecc152584536865c8d59e3da887","symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9},"content_text":"没有方向盘和油门刹车的车，是我能想到的最贴近汽车终极形态的车。\n过去，这种技术过于超前的车只出现在科幻电影里。现在，特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克已经开始琢磨把这车从荧幕搬到现实世界了。\n据Electrek报道，在9月3日的特斯拉公司内部大会上，马斯克宣布将在2023年发布售价为2.5万美元的车型。在大会上，马斯克反问员工“我们希望这辆车配备方向盘和踏板吗？”\n一辆驾驶功能和科幻电影差不多的电动车，只卖2.5万美元。看到马斯克说这句话，我一点也不意外，甚至还有些上头。但理性来看，从目前包括特斯拉在内的各大自动驾驶研发公司的技术进展出发，在2023年实现完全自动驾驶的可能性极低。\n当然，马斯克完全有可能在两年后发布这样一款没有方向盘和踏板的车。但特斯拉有能力造出这种车是一回事，用户会不会接受是另一回事。\n基于现有的法律法规及交通运行情况，去掉车内方向盘这个想法，有些超前。\nL5自动驾驶能实现吗？\n按照美国SAE International国际自动机工程师学会制定的自动驾驶分级标准，马斯克想推出的没有方向盘和刹车的车，需要达到L5级自动驾驶，即无人驾驶。\n在人类驾驶的情况下，方向盘和油门刹车是保障车辆行驶安全最基本的硬件配套。拿掉方向盘和刹车，意味着人类可以“解放双手双脚”，把驾驶行为交给自动驾驶系统。\n与目前业内多数企业宣发的L4级别自动驾驶相比，L5级自动驾驶基本属于另一个次元。在L5级自动驾驶的定义中，车辆可以满足任何工况的自动驾驶。简而言之，智能系统在驾驶过程中完全取代人类。\n目前，业内对于L5级别自动驾驶的实现时间仍存在争议。8月18日，百度就曾发布“汽车机器人”，据百度描述该“汽车机器人”具备L5级自动驾驶能力，而李彦宏则表示“预计2-3年内用户即可体验到该产品”。\n但前华为智能驾驶产品线总裁苏箐则表示“L5级别自动驾驶永远不可能达到。”马斯克的看法与苏箐不同。马斯克曾多次在公开场合暗示，特斯拉在自动驾驶方面的技术能力已媲美人脑。\n在自动驾驶的技术路线上，特斯拉走的是纯视觉路线。特斯拉开发出“人工神经网络”，并利用大量行车数据去训练并不断迭代视觉算法。马斯克曾在2020WAIC大会上表示，当下计算机视觉已经超越人类专家水平，但要保证计算机视觉实现的关键是算力的大小。\n彼时，马斯克信心满满地表示：“L5级别的自动驾驶很快就能实现。”\n在前段时间的特斯拉AI Day上，特斯拉揭开了其超算Dojo的庐山真面目。该产品内置了3000颗Dojo 1芯片，并组装成峰值算力达到1.1EFLOPS的ExaPOD，超越目前世界上最快的超算日本富岳。在发布会后，马斯克在推特上回复网友提问时表示，ExaPOD的运算能力足以模拟人脑。\n阶段性解决了算法和算力的问题，意味着特斯拉自动驾驶研发能力又上了一个台阶。\n马斯克对L5自动驾驶能否实现的态度很乐观。但在量产装车的进度上，特斯拉离L5自动驾驶还很远。在9月3日的大会上，马斯克表示2023年是否会推出没有方向盘的车要取决于其自动驾驶技术的进度及用户对特斯拉自动驾驶的接受程度。\n用户是否接受特斯拉的自动驾驶服务，可以从特斯拉的FSD渗透率中看出。据Electrek，近日一项针对全球1.7万名特斯拉车主开展的调查显示，特斯拉完全自动驾驶功能（FSD）套件目前在全球特斯拉车主中的普及率仅为11%左右。\n特斯拉FSD套件一直备受争议，主要原因是其没能让特斯拉电动汽车实现完全自动驾驶。特斯拉承诺，未来将会进行软件升级，让使用FSD套件的汽车实现完全自动驾驶功能。\n“特斯拉的FSD是一个需要长期兑现期货，如果特斯拉的自动驾驶进展不顺利，会影响用户对其自动驾驶能力的预期，进而影响用户对FSD的接受程度，这样特斯拉赚的钱就少了”，一位自动驾驶工程师对虎嗅表示。\n但比起自身的技术进展及用户对FSD的接受程度，美国监管层面对特斯拉的“照顾”才是影响特斯拉自动驾驶能否推广的最大因素。目前，特斯拉自动辅助驾驶系统Autopilot正受到美国国家公路交通安全管理局的审查，涉及汽车多达76.5万辆。\n前述工程师认为，马斯克表态的2023年发布没有方向盘和刹车的车型，可能只是为了给订阅FSD的用户及资本市场“打鸡血”。\n完全自动驾驶车型能否量产的决定权不在特斯拉。有没有能力实现和能否真正实现，是两个问题。或许对于马斯克而言，展现其在自动驾驶领域的技术能力才是更重要的事情。\n2.5万美元的特斯拉要来了\n与L5级自动驾驶的实现相比，推出更便宜的特斯拉更具有现实意义。\n在9月3日的公司大会上，马斯克表示将推出售价2.5万美元的特斯拉车型。这个新的价位是通过特斯拉新的电池单元和电池制造工作实现的，这可以将电池成本降低 50% 以上。\n\n网传的特斯拉Model 2概念图\n推出更便宜的特斯拉车型这件事，在去年的特斯拉电池日上就有苗头。在去年的特斯拉电池日，马斯克宣布特斯拉将生产售价2.5万美元的电动汽车。他说，“最让我困扰的事情之一是，我们没有真正便宜的汽车，但我们未来会有的。为此，我们需要更便宜的电池。大约三年后，我们有信心制造出一款吸引力超强、起售价仅2.5万美元的电动汽车，而且将实现完全自动驾驶。”\n为了降低车型售价，特斯拉已连续推出搭载磷酸铁锂电池的Model 3和Model Y。但在特斯拉的计划中，目前的磷酸铁锂电池并不是其低价电动车的首选。\n在去年电池日发布4680电池后，特斯拉的4680电池已进入寻找供应商的阶段。据36kr此前报道，目前特斯拉已在国内寻找4680电池的供应商，包括宁德时代、松下、LG及亿纬锂能。\n从4680电池的技术进展来看，特斯拉在2023年推出售价2.5万美元的车型不是吹牛。一位动力电池行业人士对虎嗅表示，4680电池已有部分供应商给出样品，行业的普遍观点认为4680电池将在2023年左右实现量产。\n即使无法实现高级别自动驾驶功能，售价2.5万美元的特斯拉依旧拥有不俗的市场竞争力。\n但该车型最终是否会“跳票”，仍取决于电池技术的研发进展及特斯拉自身的产品规划。\n此外，在9月3日的公司大会上，马斯克还表示特斯拉Cybertruck的交付时间将从2021年延后至2022年年末。而据Electrek的报道，特斯拉最近才完成Cybertruck的工程设计。\n是的，放鸽子了。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":817993028,"gmtCreate":1630895091864,"gmtModify":1676530414548,"author":{"id":"3518527627041174","authorId":"3518527627041174","name":"猛逃","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3518527627041174","authorIdStr":"3518527627041174"},"htmlText":"就憑老馬的本事，早晚的事[財迷]&nbsp;","listText":"就憑老馬的本事，早晚的事[財迷]&nbsp;","text":"就憑老馬的本事，早晚的事[財迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/817993028","repostId":2164806064,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":817076142,"gmtCreate":1630893942486,"gmtModify":1676530414143,"author":{"id":"3559446073212148","authorId":"3559446073212148","name":"轻舞飞扬AC","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3559446073212148","authorIdStr":"3559446073212148"},"htmlText":"還需時間驗證其安全性，不能輕易放開！","listText":"還需時間驗證其安全性，不能輕易放開！","text":"還需時間驗證其安全性，不能輕易放開！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/817076142","repostId":2164806064,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":814708376,"gmtCreate":1630883468795,"gmtModify":1676530409041,"author":{"id":"4088296979073510","authorId":"4088296979073510","name":"龙腾虎跃168","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4088296979073510","authorIdStr":"4088296979073510"},"htmlText":"敢[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"敢[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"敢[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/814708376","repostId":2164806064,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":814477986,"gmtCreate":1630883127645,"gmtModify":1676530408932,"author":{"id":"3558680293731120","authorId":"3558680293731120","name":"Alicia 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