美联储议息会议点评:靴子基本落地,鲍威尔拿走“酒杯”

新浪财经2021-09-23

核心观点 9月议息会议,美联储维持基准利率和购债规模不变,声明中提及“如果进展大致如预期,则资产购买步伐可能很快就会放缓”。经济预测和点阵图显示加息预期进一步提前。鲍威尔讲话较为鹰派,表示缩减购债规模的条件最早可能在下次会议上得到满足。我们认为,按照本次会议声明和鲍威尔讲话,Taper或将在11月宣布,12月开始实施,节奏可能是每月缩减150亿美元购债,至明年年中结束,美债利率拐点或取决于债务上限...

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