工资与物价螺旋上升,美联储能否阻止美国经济衰退?

智通财经网2022-01-13

美国非农及CPI数据公布后,美国经济处境变得十分尴尬。就业情况不容乐观,通胀已经破7,这意味着当前的通胀水平和“大滞胀”时期已经基本相当。此外,美联储最担心的事情也初见端倪,即“工资-物价”螺旋初步形成,低收入者要求更高薪资增速。这可能导致通胀率保持在远高于美联储2%目标的水平,迫使其大幅加息,并引发经济衰退风险。如果按照1980年的方法,重新计算当前的通胀水平,即所谓“影子通胀”,则会发现美国...

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