外媒头条：摩根士丹利预计美股还有更大跌势

市场资讯2022-01-28

全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、美联储启动数十年来最快的全球货币紧缩周期金融市场前途坎坷2、美国去年第四季度经济增长加快受到库存重建和消费支出提振3、高盛二号人物公开痛批美联储 “丧失公信、缺乏决心”4、摩根士丹利料美股还有更大跌势恐怕会跑输世界其余地区股市5、美国天然气价格周四飙升46.5% 创史上最大单日涨幅6、谷歌云部门组建新团队围绕区块链打造业务美联储启动数十年来...

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Comments

爱是一道光绿到你发慌
2022-01-29
爱是一道光绿到你发慌
狗剩看跌，快點買
Alexkoay
2022-01-28
Alexkoay
[微笑]
wsm
2022-01-28
wsm
有沒有發現A股從來沒人敢說A股還有更大跌勢
- 夜袭女儿国:
  因为没人敢说，怕喝茶 [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]
- 夜袭女儿国:
  因为深不见底 [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]
HuatahHuat
2022-01-28
HuatahHuat
👍
BigKKK
2022-01-28
BigKKK
買買買
time to eat
2022-01-28
time to eat
Just buy

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131

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金融市场前途坎坷2、美国去年第四季度经济增长加快 受到库存重建和消费支出提振3、高盛二号人物公开痛批美联储 “丧失公信、缺乏决心”4、摩根士丹利料美股还有更大跌势 恐怕会跑输世界其余地区股市5、美国天然气价格周四飙升46.5% 创史上最大单日涨幅6、谷歌云部门组建新团队 围绕区块链打造业务美联储启动数十年来最快的全球货币紧缩周期 金融市场前途坎坷美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔为可能是多年来全球货币政策最大最快的紧缩打响了第一枪。他的鹰派言论包括不排除2022年内历次会议都将加息的可能性。在接下来一周，英国央行等多家央行都可能上调基准利率，更多央行暗示未来几个月也将跟进。这次鲍威尔的讲话向投资者发出了重大警告，那就是央行要动真格撤走支持性政策了。即使股市大跌，债券收益率上升，对加息将削弱经济增长力道的担忧日益升温，但这位美联储主席眼都没眨一下。“这轮紧缩周期会不一样，”TS Lombard经济学家Dario Perkins表示。“当局这次可能希望用快得多的速度加息。”Perkins表示，上一轮全球周期是在2008年金融危机前夕，但这轮周期正值经济满负荷运转，通胀率远高于目标，因此可能铺垫出1990年代以来最快的全球加息周期。Perkins表示，金融市场应该准备好迎接剧烈波动。“通胀远高于目标，经济已经接近充分就业，资产估值看起来过高，”他说道。“除非均衡利率已经崩溃--这似乎不太可能发生，否则当局可能需要比投资者预期更强有力地收紧政策。这给金融部门带来了显而易见的风险。”美国去年第四季度经济增长加快 受到库存重建和消费支出提振美国去年最后三个月的经济增长加速，受到了库存重建和消费者支出增加的推动。美国商务部周四发布的初步估计数字显示，去年第四季度国内生产总值折合年率增长6.9%，高于第三季度2.3%的增幅。美联储官员密切关注的通胀指标--不包括食品和能源的个人消费支出价格指数，折合年率增长4.9%。接受媒体调查的经济学家的预测中值是去年第四季度GDP增长5.5%。高盛二号人物公开痛批美联储 “丧失公信、缺乏决心”就在美联储为遏制近40年来最热通胀而加大承诺力度之前，一位美国金融业高管对它做出了极为罕见的公开批评。高盛集团总裁John Waldron在对养老基金经理的发言中直言不讳地说，美联储的独立性近年来已经毁了，在市场上也丧失了公信力。他在央行周三会议前几个小时表示，过去几年发生的事情令“美联储的独立性受到质疑”。他对美联储作为“独立货币政策引擎做自己认为正确的事、而不是搞权宜之计”的能力表示怀疑。Waldron表示，真正重要的是削减过去两年翻逾一番达到近9万亿美元的资产负债表的能力和意愿。“我不完全相信美联储有这样做的意愿，” 他说，债券交易员也和他看法一致，“我不确定他们也相信美联储有这样的意愿。”摩根士丹利料美股还有更大跌势 恐怕会跑输世界其余地区股市摩根士丹利跨资产策略师Andrew Sheets认为，由于美股难以适应政策收紧的时代，因此加倍押注美股将从赢家变为输家。Sheets进一步强化了预期，认为经通胀调整的收益率将从严重负值水平回到疫情前的常态，可能给对利率敏感的增长股带来新的冲击，而这些股票驱动着美国的超大盘指数。“我们偏好在美国股市持有防御性头寸，认为美股对实际利率走高最为敏感，表现会落后于世界其余地区的股票，”Sheets在接受采访时表示。周三，美联储主席鲍威尔暗示，为了遏制40年来最为火热的通胀，3月份将会加息，同时提出了每次会议都加息的可能性，随后实际收益率升至18个月以来的最高水平。Sheets预计，到今年年底，经通胀调整的利率将进一步上升40个基点，至-0.1%。短短两周前，他的预测为-0.3%。美国天然气价格周四飙升46.5% 创史上最大单日涨幅美国天然气价格周四收盘飙升46%，创史上最大单日涨幅，令市场感到震惊。美国原油期货价格录得3个交易日来的首次下跌。根据道琼斯市场数据，纽约商品交易所2月份交割的天然气价格上涨1.99美元，涨幅达46.5%，收于每百万英热单位6.265美元，创10月以来最高收盘价，同时创下有记录以来的天然气最大单日百分比涨幅。美国能源信息署（EIA）周四报告称，美国上周天然气库存锐减2190亿立方英尺，使库存总量比去年水平低10%以上。与此同时，美国WTI原油期货价格录得3个交易日来的首次下跌。交易商仍在关注俄乌紧张局势及其对全球原油供应的潜在影响。纽约商品交易所3月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）期货价格下跌74美分，跌幅近0.9%，收于每桶86.61美元。谷歌云部门组建新团队 围绕区块链打造业务据报道，在经历了零售、医疗和其他行业的增长之后，谷歌的云部门又成立了一个新团队，围绕区块链应用打造业务。分析人士称，此举若获得成功，将有助于谷歌进一步实现广告业务之外的多元化，并在不断增长的计算和存储服务市场进一步巩固自己的地位。谷歌云部门数字资产战略主管理查德·威德曼（Richard Widmann）今日称，该部门计划招聘一批拥有区块链专业知识的员工。他说：“我们认为，如果做得好，就会推动去中心化。”谷歌的云市场已经提供了一些工具，允许开发人员用来构建区块链网络。而且，谷歌也拥有了一些区块链客户，包括Dapper Labs、Hedera、Theta 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