11 arguments that will define 'titanic battle' between stock market bulls and bears as Fed lifts rates

MarketWatch2022-01-27

Equity market won't be a 'one-way street' as hiking cycle gets under way: Deutsche Bank's RuskinFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Pool/Getty ImagesStock-market bulls and bears are set to fight a...

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Comments

mightytrader
2022-01-27
mightytrader
Ok.
ShawnKoh1
2022-01-27
ShawnKoh1
Hi
Kevinmuck
2022-01-27
Kevinmuck
Nicr
DarkFate
2022-01-27
DarkFate
Like
huipooi
2022-01-27
huipooi
Tq
Fern29
2022-01-27
Fern29
Just buy the dip n dca

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For example the idea that the Fed is taking away the punch bowl may be enough to trump most the other factors -- although historically (and contrary to popular opinion) equities have generally done reasonably well when tightening is under way,\" Ruskin wrote.As noted by MarketWatch's Mark DeCambre, data compiled by Dow Jones Market Data going back to 1989 shows the average return for the Dow Jones Industrial Average  during hiking cycles is nearly 55%, while the S&P 500  has seen an average rise of 62.9% and the Nasdaq Composite  has averaged a positive return of 102.7%.The Fed, at the conclusion of its two-day meeting on Wednesday, issued a statement that laid the groundwork for a widely expected March rate increase. Stocks initially extended gains following the policy statement, then erased their advance during Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's news conference, ending mostly lower.Traders have priced in an aggressive round of rate hikes in 2022. Some have even penciled in the possibility of a 50 basis point, or 0.5 percentage point, rise in March rather than the more widely expected, and usual, 25-basis-point rise. Some market watchers contend that market participants have become overly aggressive on rate expectations, leaving room for a positive surprise if Powell doesn't significantly enhance the central bank's already hawkish posture.Looking ahead, Ruskin said risky assets are likely to be resilient to 25 basis point rate increases at the March, May and June meetings, even if that pace isn't fully priced into the market, \"as long as the path of tightening does not acknowledge a still quicker and more extensive tightening cycle ahead.\"He noted that the market has only a little more than 50 basis points of hikes priced in for 2023, helping to keep expectations for the ceiling on the fed-funds rate, referred to as the terminal rate, below 2%.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":9090721186,"gmtCreate":1643270569940,"gmtModify":1676533792854,"author":{"id":"3578530500053907","authorId":"3578530500053907","name":"mightytrader","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3578530500053907","authorIdStr":"3578530500053907"},"htmlText":"Ok.","listText":"Ok.","text":"Ok.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9090721186","repostId":2206894951,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9090767705,"gmtCreate":1643270267525,"gmtModify":1676533792774,"author":{"id":"3570598542159923","authorId":"3570598542159923","name":"ShawnKoh1","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0045c4894f8a2755b17a9e8518df4d5e","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3570598542159923","authorIdStr":"3570598542159923"},"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9090767705","repostId":2206894951,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9090784688,"gmtCreate":1643269177733,"gmtModify":1676533792476,"author":{"id":"3555207969141991","authorId":"3555207969141991","name":"Kevinmuck","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/4d0d932a85ea67189bbe44cbe55dea22","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3555207969141991","authorIdStr":"3555207969141991"},"htmlText":"Nicr","listText":"Nicr","text":"Nicr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9090784688","repostId":2206894951,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9090782180,"gmtCreate":1643268860088,"gmtModify":1676533792422,"author":{"id":"4097476142152970","authorId":"4097476142152970","name":"DarkFate","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a22f6ff84fe185b6d3ad31b8673302d8","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4097476142152970","authorIdStr":"4097476142152970"},"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9090782180","repostId":2206894951,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9090714230,"gmtCreate":1643266499711,"gmtModify":1676533792233,"author":{"id":"4093504833888170","authorId":"4093504833888170","name":"huipooi","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/626e88d8e50f6abdafb81e598c31196d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4093504833888170","authorIdStr":"4093504833888170"},"htmlText":"Tq","listText":"Tq","text":"Tq","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9090714230","repostId":2206894951,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9090715380,"gmtCreate":1643266162365,"gmtModify":1676533792201,"author":{"id":"3563953110808682","authorId":"3563953110808682","name":"Fern29","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f23e4012d1db4d84c2dea35d3f60127d","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/306aa047bc14b6942cda1aed925cf8c3","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3563953110808682","authorIdStr":"3563953110808682"},"htmlText":"Just buy the dip n dca","listText":"Just buy the dip n dca","text":"Just buy the dip n dca","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9090715380","repostId":2206894951,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":377,"commentSize":29,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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