Palantir: The Buying Opportunity Has Arrived

seekingalpha2022-02-23

Palantir (PLTR) stock continued to tumble last week, hitting a new 52-week low, now about 75% below its ATH. The most recent wave of selling arrived after the company reported its Q4 and full-year ...

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Comments

Benjean
2022-02-23
Benjean
Buy....Buying time
RDPD富爸穷爸
2022-02-23
RDPD富爸穷爸
I have my reservations for PLTR. I think it has growth potential base on its business model however I am also wary of its stock compensation scheme. I'm not comfortable with this scheme as it means their staff will overload shares in exchange for cash regularly if they are in need of cash. Another factor to consider will be Cathie Wood offloading large amount of shares lately which also triggered short term price pressure on this company. Base on price action, it is clearly grinding towards its 8.9 low back in 2020. As always this is my personal opinion, please DYODD and further research if you are keen to be a shareholder 😊
JSY25
2022-02-23
JSY25
Very good points to take "The company needs to execute almost flawlessly and operate optimally for the stock price to continue higher in future years.".. thanks for the information 👍
SanWangtikup
2022-02-23
SanWangtikup
👌
tongfee
2022-02-23
tongfee
PLTR pls manage SBC expenses better, don't just make insiders rich. [Serious] [Serious] [Serious]
Maky
2022-02-23
Maky
High risk does not equate high return. Government pulls out or data breaches, omg! Must take a long term view to invest in PLTR and be able to ignore the noises

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The most recent wave of selling arrived after the company reported its Q4 and full-year ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4488866-palantir-stock-buying-opportunity-arrived\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"seekingalpha","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: The Buying Opportunity Has Arrived</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: The Buying Opportunity Has Arrived\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-23 13:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4488866-palantir-stock-buying-opportunity-arrived><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Palantir (PLTR) stock continued to tumble last week, hitting a new 52-week low, now about 75% below its ATH. The most recent wave of selling arrived after the company reported its Q4 and full-year ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4488866-palantir-stock-buying-opportunity-arrived\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4548","symbol_name":"巴美列捷福持仓","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4488866-palantir-stock-buying-opportunity-arrived","article_id":"2213695678","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2213695678","pubTimestamp":1645595053,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"seekingalpha","name":"Seeking Alpha"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Palantir (PLTR) stock continued to tumble last week, hitting a new 52-week low, now about 75% below ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"seekingalpha.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4543":"AI","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4023":"应用软件","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","BK4099":"汽车制造商"},"translate_title":"Palantir：买入机会已经到来","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":1},"content_text":"Palantir (PLTR) stock continued to tumble last week, hitting a new 52-week low, now about 75% below its ATH. The most recent wave of selling arrived after the company reported its Q4 and full-year 2021 results. Palantir missed EPS projections, but the company delivered robust revenue numbers and provided healthy forward guidance. Moreover, Palantir's business is expanding rapidly. The company should continue to grow revenues quickly and become significantly more profitable over time.Furthermore, the company's efficiency is improving, and its stock-based compensation costs should continue to decline. Palantir's stock price deflated in recent months, its valuation has become much cheaper, and the stock is now trading near a critical support level around the company's IPO price. Palantir has a bright future ahead, and its valuation is relatively inexpensive right now. We should see the company's share price stabilize and begin recovering soon. Moreover, Palantir's stock could become a top performer in future years, and I expect the company's stock to appreciate considerably moving forward.Palantir's Epic Fall From The TopPLTR (StockCharts.com)Palantir was one of the hottest stocks in early 2021. After going public in late 2020, the company's stock price quadrupled in just several months. However, the last few months have been brutal, as Palantir's stock has deflated back to its IPO levels. Now, we're not talking about a small cap here. At its peak, Palantir's market cap shot up to about $65 billion before crashing back down to around $20 billion in recent days. So, What Went Wrong With Palantir?Palantir went public at a particular time. Remember the good days of late 2020 and early 2021? Yes, this was the time of rapid appreciation for many assets. Tesla (TSLA) and other EV manufacturers skyrocketed around this time. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) shot up from about $10K to $60K. The alternative energy industry had one of its most potent up moves on record. Small caps and ultra-high multiple growth names, in general, had a monster move around this exact time. The Russell 2000 surged by a remarkable 65% during this time, and Palantir went along for the ride. However, at a market cap of around $65 billion, Palantir's valuation problems and other issues became apparent. Palantir was trading at about 230 times earnings and approximately 50 times sales at its top to put things into perspective. Over the last year, we've seen a substantial rotation out of ultra-high multiple growth stocks, and Palantir's stock has been punished accordingly. Palantir's Valuation Is Attractive For The First TimePalantir delivered $1.542 billion in revenues last year and provided that the company should achieve at least 30% YoY revenue growth, it should produce about $2 billion in revenues this year. With a market cap of around $20 billion, Palantir's price to sales ratio is down to just 10, which is a steep drop from the 50 multiple Palantir was trading at around this time a year ago. We see many companies selling at 10 sales or higher, but not many of them have a projected 30%+ revenue growth rate through 2025. Palantir does! Recent Earnings Signal Bright Future Ahead For PalantirPalantir's CEO reaffirmed the company's long-term guidance for annual revenue growth of 30% or greater through 2025.Q4 revenues came in at $433 million, up by 34% YoY. The result beat consensus estimates by about $15 million. Commercial revenue grew by 47% YoY, and the company's U.S. commercial division revenues expanded by a whopping 132% YoY. Adjusted income from operations came in at $124 million, representing an income margin of 29%. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.02 vs. the $0.04 EPS consensus estimate. 2021 full year revenues came in at $1.54 billion, up by 41% YoY. U.S. revenues grew by 53% YoY.Commercial revenues grew by 34% YoY, with a 102% YoY surge in the U.S.U.S. commercial customer count increased by 4.7x in the year. Adjusted free cash flow came in at $424 million, representing a 28% margin. GAAP gross margin came in at 80% in the fourth quarter and registered at 78% for the full year. Q4 Highlights Q4 highlights (Investors.Palantir.com )2021 Full-Year Highlights 2021 highlights (Investors.Palantir.com )Income Statement Income statement (Investors.Palantir.com )We see that Palantir delivered substantial revenue growth of 41% last year. Now, if we stay with the relatively modest 30% YoY revenue growth projections through 2025, we should see approximately $4.4 billion in revenues in 2025. This estimate represents a remarkable 185% revenue increase in just four years. Also, going by Palantir's current market cap, the stock is only trading at 4-5x forward revenue estimates now. As far as profitability, it's not practical to value the company based on minimal earnings, as Palantir remains in high growth mode now. Nevertheless, we see that Palantir is delivering profits and should become increasingly more profitable as the company advances. While YoY revenues increased by 41%, the company's operating expenses dropped by 15% YoY. Stock-based compensation also declined sharply by nearly 40% YoY. It's important to consider that Palantir recently became a public company and is undergoing a significant adjustment. As Palantir moves forward, we should see less dilution and fewer SBC expenses. We should also focus more on profitability as the company moves forward and through 2025. Palantir's gross profit margin improved from 67% to 78% YoY. Moreover, the Q4 gross profit margin came in at 80%, which illustrates the remarkable profitability potential at Palantir. Once the company gets its SBC under control, we should see its extraordinary profitability potential materialize. Here is what Palantir's financials could look like in future years: Year202220232024202520262027202820292030Revenue $B2.052.73.554.65.97.379.1511.1513.4Revenue growth33%32%31%30%28%25%24%22%20%EPS $0.220.320.450.630.881.201.702.253Forward P/E565554535250484540Price$18$25$34$47$62$85$108$135$160Source: The AuthorPalantir's valuation has been brought down substantially in recent months. If the company can deliver $0.22 in EPS this year, the stock is only trading at 50 times 2022's EPS estimates. If we go by next year's EPS projections, Palantir is only trading at about 35 times expectations right now. Provided the company's explosive growth and exceptional profitability potential, Palantir is relatively inexpensive right now. Moreover, due to its tremendous growth runway, Palantir should continue to command a valuation of 40-60 times forward earnings in future years. Therefore, as Palantir becomes increasingly more profitable in the coming years, its stock price should appreciate considerably.Risks To Consider Despite my bullish outlook for Palantir, market participants should consider several potential risks associated with this investment. While the growth story is strong at Palantir, shares are not cheap by traditional metrics. Furthermore, the company's earnings are still minimal and may not increase as much as other analysts or I envision. Moreover, if the company's growth picture were to turn less bullish for whatever reason, the stock could head in the wrong direction. For instance, if Palantir lost favor with the government or had a data breach, the stock could experience a notable decline. Palantir is not a value company. It's an elevated-risk/high reward potential stock. The company needs to execute almost flawlessly and operate optimally for the stock price to continue higher in future years.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":9030957176,"gmtCreate":1645619012778,"gmtModify":1676534045713,"author":{"id":"3579343697014515","authorId":"3579343697014515","authorIdStr":"3579343697014515","name":"Benjean","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3579343697014515"},"htmlText":"Buy....Buying time","listText":"Buy....Buying time","text":"Buy....Buying time","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9030957176","repostId":2213695678,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9030953448,"gmtCreate":1645616157288,"gmtModify":1676534045554,"author":{"id":"3563664364598207","authorId":"3563664364598207","authorIdStr":"3563664364598207","name":"RDPD富爸穷爸","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccb78267f6fdc8fcff96e8963a385af9","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3563664364598207"},"htmlText":"I have my reservations for PLTR. I think it has growth potential base on its business model however I am also wary of its stock compensation scheme. I'm not comfortable with this scheme as it means their staff will overload shares in exchange for cash regularly if they are in need of cash. Another factor to consider will be Cathie Wood offloading large amount of shares lately which also&nbsp;triggered short term price pressure on this company. Base on price action, it is clearly grinding towards its 8.9 low back in 2020. As always this is my personal opinion, please DYODD and further research if you are keen to be a shareholder 😊","listText":"I have my reservations for PLTR. I think it has growth potential base on its business model however I am also wary of its stock compensation scheme. I'm not comfortable with this scheme as it means their staff will overload shares in exchange for cash regularly if they are in need of cash. Another factor to consider will be Cathie Wood offloading large amount of shares lately which also&nbsp;triggered short term price pressure on this company. Base on price action, it is clearly grinding towards its 8.9 low back in 2020. As always this is my personal opinion, please DYODD and further research if you are keen to be a shareholder 😊","text":"I have my reservations for PLTR. I think it has growth potential base on its business model however I am also wary of its stock compensation scheme. I'm not comfortable with this scheme as it means their staff will overload shares in exchange for cash regularly if they are in need of cash. Another factor to consider will be Cathie Wood offloading large amount of shares lately which also triggered short term price pressure on this company. Base on price action, it is clearly grinding towards its 8.9 low back in 2020. As always this is my personal opinion, please DYODD and further research if you are keen to be a shareholder 😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9030953448","repostId":2213695678,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9030929017,"gmtCreate":1645611821123,"gmtModify":1676534045209,"author":{"id":"4099632774864490","authorId":"4099632774864490","authorIdStr":"4099632774864490","name":"JSY25","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/398a3116838b1007fdd0326dae5c7a9d","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4099632774864490"},"htmlText":"Very good points to take \"The company needs to execute almost flawlessly and operate optimally for the stock price to continue higher in future years.\".. thanks for the information 👍","listText":"Very good points to take \"The company needs to execute almost flawlessly and operate optimally for the stock price to continue higher in future years.\".. thanks for the information 👍","text":"Very good points to take \"The company needs to execute almost flawlessly and operate optimally for the stock price to continue higher in future years.\".. thanks for the information 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9030929017","repostId":2213695678,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9030966944,"gmtCreate":1645609419739,"gmtModify":1676534045070,"author":{"id":"4087452914358580","authorId":"4087452914358580","authorIdStr":"4087452914358580","name":"SanWangtikup","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7f061d50a9f915d0ce8e8c879871960","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4087452914358580"},"htmlText":"👌&nbsp;","listText":"👌&nbsp;","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9030966944","repostId":2213695678,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9030985234,"gmtCreate":1645605947952,"gmtModify":1676534044882,"author":{"id":"4095172669411230","authorId":"4095172669411230","authorIdStr":"4095172669411230","name":"tongfee","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a27351761415dd5a648eda5c4e3033aa","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4095172669411230"},"htmlText":"PLTR pls manage SBC expenses better, don't just make insiders rich.&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;","listText":"PLTR pls manage SBC expenses better, don't just make insiders rich.&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;[Serious]&nbsp;","text":"PLTR pls manage SBC expenses better, don't just make insiders rich. [Serious] [Serious] [Serious]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9030985234","repostId":2213695678,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9030988040,"gmtCreate":1645604603209,"gmtModify":1676534044816,"author":{"id":"4097760012234950","authorId":"4097760012234950","authorIdStr":"4097760012234950","name":"Maky","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/623d907d0a6cc27a289b9744092f6eef","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4097760012234950"},"htmlText":"High risk does not equate high return. Government pulls out or data breaches, omg! &nbsp;Must take a long term view to invest in PLTR and be able to ignore the noises&nbsp;","listText":"High risk does not equate high return. Government pulls out or data breaches, omg! &nbsp;Must take a long term view to invest in PLTR and be able to ignore the noises&nbsp;","text":"High risk does not equate high return. Government pulls out or data breaches, omg! Must take a long term view to invest in PLTR and be able to ignore the noises","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9030988040","repostId":2213695678,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"isCommentEnd":false,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":211,"commentSize":42,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":9,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":true,"deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.28.1","shortVersion":"4.28.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"ttm","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2213695678"}