50bp变25bp,美联储加息还有哪些风险?

川阅全球宏观2022-03-18

3月美联储加息50bp风险解除,或将于5月开始缩表。未来的风险点主要在于美联储加息的节奏与幅度。本次议息会议有以下4点内容值得关注:首先,加息25bp落地,QT将在5月的议息会议上公布。声明显示受供需失衡、能源价格影响,美国通胀压力增强,近期就业增长强劲,但俄乌局势对美国经济的影响有很高不确定性,因此美联储本次加息步长仍为25bp。同时,鲍威尔表示将于5月公布缩表计划,总体速度快于上一次。第二,...

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