宋雪涛:二季度的主要交易逻辑

格隆汇2022-04-14

一季度,国内的主要矛盾在分子,年初以来地产销售塌方、基建持币观望、疫情扩散,政策没有兑现稳的预期,经济还停留在「滞」,预期走弱,情绪回落,A股的交易逻辑是重建信心。一季度,美国的主要矛盾在分母,政策兑现了紧的预期,进入加息周期,利率快速上升,美股的交易逻辑是消化估值。二季度是一季度的延伸,内外市场定价的核心矛盾没有明显变化:国内的焦点仍是分子,美国的焦点仍是分母。市场是根据一致预期之外的边际变化来...

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