U.S. Stock Futures Slip As Investors Reassess Hawkish Remarks By Fed's Powell

Dow Jones2022-05-18

U.S. stock futures slipped Wednesday, as investors reconsidered hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. S&P 500 futures fell 0.3%, while contracts for the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.1%. Futures for the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 fell 0.5%.

On Tuesday, the Dow industrials jumped 431.17 points, or 1.3% to 32,654.59, a third straight day of gains. The S&P 500 climbed 2% to 4,088.85, and the Nasdaq Composite jumped 2.8%, to end at 11,984.52.

VIX rose 1% and VIXmain rose 0.1% separately.

Gold fell 0.1% to $1817.

What's driving the markets?

Investors were taking a fresh look at comments from Fed Chairman Powell, who on Tuesday spoke of possible "pain" for Americans as the central bank moves resolutely to bring down inflation. He was speaking at The Wall Street Journal's Future of Everything event.

"Powell's words didn't hit the investor appetite immediately. Nasdaq rallied more than 2.50% yesterday, as the S&P 500 rebounded 2%. But mixed activity in U.S. futures hint that appetite may not remain as strong in the coming sessions," said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote Bank, in a note to clients.

Stocks got a lift on Tuesday from better-than-expected retail sales data, as well as optimism over China's fight against COVID and signs of easing lockdowns. Michael O'Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading, pointed to another possible factor behind Tuesday's rise --- a Bloomberg report discussing possibly bullish stock options activity.

"Investors who have reduced exposure are adding upside protection hedges with index ETF call options," O'Rourke told clients in a note. The put-to-call ratio for the $361 billion SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust ETF (ticker SPY) recently hit a two-year low, based on open contracts, that report said.

A low put-to-call ratio is considered a bullish indicator for markets. He said the story also noted a 2008 high for outstanding call options for the $163 billion Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 ETF (QQQ). A call option gives investors the right to buy an asset at a specific time, and an abundance means increased interest in buying.

But against a backdrop of Powell's comments and disappointment from retailing giant Walmart, O'Rourke remains wary. "One can't help to think that days like today are simply setting investors up for the next disappointment," he said.

The economic calendar is light for Wednesday, with building permits and housing starts for April due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern, followed by comments from Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, expected at 4 p.m. Eastern Time.

On the retail front, Target Corp., Lowe's Cos and TJX Cos. are due to release results ahead of the market's open. Cisco Systems Inc. will report after the close.

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